816
FNUS71 KPHI 022232
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR RT 46 FIRE...NJFFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
632 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1926 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MILD TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE AROUND THE REGION
THROUGH TUESDAY BRINGING A PROLONG PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER
AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT THAT CROSSES THROUGH THE AREA BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS BY WEDNESDAY
INTO THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................59 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 45 42 40 39 40 42 45 44 40 45 48
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CWR.............30 30 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............73 72 71 70 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 62
RH..............64 64 63 63 66 70 73 75 78 84 87 87
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 14 10 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.10 8 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 9 8 8 7 9 8 8 9 7 8
ADI.............59 8 6 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 9 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (89800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (49600 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(117700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 82 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 49 48 54 60 69 70 71 78 85 91 98
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 0 10 30 40 40 50 60 70 70 80
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 10 30 40 40 50 60 70 70 80
TEMP............62 63 65 68 71 74 76 78 79 79 78 77
RH..............87 87 84 76 71 64 60 56 52 52 56 58
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 9 10 10 12 12 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 12 14 16 18 21 22 23 22 20 17
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 6 5
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 7 8 10 11 13 13 14 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.3 4.2 4.7 5.1 3.7 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 14 13 15 17 20 21 22 26 23 20
ADI.............4 8 15 22 33 46 66 79 65 82 82 62
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 11 15 22 34 56 76 90 118 73 50
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD GD FR
FORECASTER...MPS
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER FRANEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2512697.1/PHI
.DELDT 05/02/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.WEBER@DEP.NJ.GOV,NJFFAIMT@GMAIL.COM
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