808
FXUS61 KPHI 020612
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
212 AM EDT SAT AUG 2 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, MUCH LOWER HUMIDITY AND
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE OFFSHORE INTO THE MIDDLE TO END OF
NEXT WEEK WITH MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER ARRIVING.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
THROUGH TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY NUDGE
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW PLEASANTLY COOL
AND DRY AIR (COMPARATIVELY SPEAKING) TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING OVERALL, THOUGH A FEW GUSTS
UP TO 20 MPH MAY BE HAD NEAR THE COAST DURING THE DAY TODAY.
WHILE IT SHOULD START OUT MOSTLY SUNNY, A PASSING UPPER
SHORTWAVE AND JET STREAK WILL LIKELY BRING SOME HIGH CLOUDS
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON, DEPARTING EASTWARD TONIGHT.
THAT SHOULD HELP ENSURE ANOTHER RELATIVELY COOL NIGHT. HIGHS
TODAY WILL GENERALLY BE CLOSE TO 80, WHILE LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE
IN THE 60S IN THE URBAN CORES AND NEAR THE TIDAL WATERS, BUT 50S
ELSEWHERE.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
THE NICE WEATHER CONTINUES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AS
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST FROM THE GREAT
LAKES. THIS WILL LEAD TO MINIMAL CLOUD COVER SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER CONTINUING. IT WILL ALSO BE COOLER
AND MORE COMFORTABLE WITH DEW POINTS MAINLY IN THE UPPER 50S
AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
THE NICE WEATHER CONTINUES FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. MONDAY LOOKS TO FEATURE A LOT OF SUNSHINE WITH A FEW
MORE CLOUDS ON TUESDAY LEADING TO MORE OF A PARTLY SUNNY DAY.
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS START TO INCREASE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE MAINLY IN THE 80S BOTH DAYS WITH
DEWPOINTS INCREASING BACK INTO THE 60S ON TUESDAY WITH THE
HUMIDITY CREEPING UP.
BY THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK, UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING BUILDS IN
AND WE GET MORE UNSETTLED. FOR AREAS SOUTH AND WEST ON
WEDNESDAY, THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A STRAY SHOWER. COVERAGE
WILL START TO INCREASE A BIT ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WE START
TO SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS,
ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY FOR SOUTHERN AREAS. THERE IS
ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES FOR
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 70S TO MID
80S EACH DAY. DEWPOINTS WILL START TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 60S
FOR SOME SPOTS, SO WE REALLY START TO NOTICE THE HUMIDITY AGAIN.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
THRU 12Z THIS MORNING...VFR. NNE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
TODAY...VFR. WINDS SHIFTING E AND THEN SE, BUT MAINLY LESS THAN
10 KT. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
TONIGHT...VFR. WINDS SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 KTS. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...VFR. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.
MARINE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCEAN COUNTY SOUTHWARD TODAY. NORTHEAST
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS AND SEAS 3-7 FEET WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
SUBSIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. SUB-SCA THEREAFTER, AND THRU THE
PERIOD FOR THE MONMOUTH OCEAN WATERS AND THE BAY.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SUB-SCA CONDITIONS.
WEDNESDAY. SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
RIP CURRENTS...
FOR TODAY, NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10-20 MPH IN THE MORNING WILL
BECOME EASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. BREAKING WAVE HEIGHTS AROUND
3-5 FEET, WITH A EAST-NORTHEAST SWELL OF 4-5 FEET AT AROUND 7
SECONDS. DUE TO CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW AND LARGE SWELL, HAVE
MAINTAINED A HIGH RISK FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS FOR ALL BEACHES. A RIP CURRENT STATEMENT CONTINUES IN
PLACE TODAY FOR ALL BEACHES.
FOR SUNDAY, NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE BUT DIMINISH TO AROUND
10-15 MPH. BREAKING WAVE HEIGHTS AROUND 2-4 FEET, WITH A
EASTERLY SWELL OF 3-4 FEET AT AROUND 7 SECONDS. DUE TO A BIT
STRONGER WINDS/HIGHER WAVES FOR DELAWARE BEACHES, HAVE OPTED TO
GO WITH A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS. A RIP CURRENT STATEMENT
IS NOW IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ALL OF THE DELAWARE BEACHES.
FOR THE JERSEY SHORE, WHERE WINDS WILL BE A BIT LIGHTER AND
WAVES A BIT LOWER, HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A MODERATE RISK.
FOR SPECIFIC BEACH FORECASTS, VISIT WEATHER.GOV/BEACH/PHI
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NJ...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NJZ014-024>026.
DE...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR DEZ004.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ451.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR ANZ452-453.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ454-455.
SYNOPSIS...GUZZO/RCM
NEAR TERM...RCM
SHORT TERM...GUZZO
LONG TERM...GUZZO
AVIATION...GUZZO/RCM
MARINE...DESILVA/GUZZO/RCM
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