646  
FNUS71 KPHI 230902  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLEFORD RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
502 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES AS AN UPPER TROUGH LIES OVER  
THE NORTHEAST. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION ON  
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THEREAFTER, WITH LOW PRESSURE  
POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (98600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (91900  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 85 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 1 0 0 1 4 8 9 20 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 49 55 58 60 61 61 61 62 60  
RH..............86 71 53 45 41 38 38 36 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 15 17 18 20 20 20 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.0 3.6 5.1 5.4 5.8 6.3 6.4 6.5 5.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 15 22 21 21 20 21 21 21 20  
ADI.............11 16 77 64 66 72 73 74 73 85  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 13 69 91 98 99 113 115 117 92  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................4 TO 26.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 25 12 8 3 2 0 2 1 2 2 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 56 51 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40  
RH..............39 45 56 63 65 68 70 76 79 82 85 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 9 9 9 10 9 10 9 9 9  
ADI.............26 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (93900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 99 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 5 1 1 4 7 11 16 20 19 17 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 39 41 46 51 56 58 59 59 60 60 58  
RH..............92 92 92 86 71 57 51 45 44 42 42 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 12 14 15 16 17 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.5 3.1 4.7 5.7 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.2 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 12 14 15 16 16 16 16 17 16  
ADI.............4 8 8 24 51 83 89 65 67 68 68 99  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 15 37 61 78 87 90 94 91 76  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOEFLICH  
REQUESTED BY...NATASHA WHETZEL - BURN BOSS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524260.0/PHI  
.DELDT 10/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATASHA.WHETZEL@TNC.ORG  
 
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