195
FNUS71 KPHI 121811
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR JUMP CIRCLE RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
211 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE THROUGH THIS
EVENING WITH HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDING IN BEHIND IT OVER THE
REGION OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTH OF
THE AREA WILL DRAG ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY RETURNS FOR SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY, THEN LOW PRESSURE PASSING
NORTH OF THE AREA DRAGS A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE
MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 36 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (52800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (130100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................56 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 101 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 50 52 44 54 67 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............42 43 45 46 46 45 44
RH..............46 45 43 42 42 45 47
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 14 15 17 17 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.15 18 23 26 28 29 31
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 25 30 35 36 35
ADI.............60 56 71 86 99 101 99
VRATE KT-FT/1K..53 69 91 113 129 130 128
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 12 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (84400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO GOOD (57900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................72 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 15 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........71 48 38 37 36 35 30 25 20 17 13 10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 44 44 44 45 45 45 45 44 43 42
RH..............51 55 57 60 62 62 62 62 60 60 60 60
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..17 15 14 14 15 15 13 12 10 12 12 13
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 28 26 25 25 23 21 18 18 20 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 25 23 26 26 25 23 23 22 22 22 22
ADI.............72 34 31 36 36 34 31 15 15 15 15 29
VRATE KT-FT/1K..84 68 60 80 79 80 67 62 58 62 67 71
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD FR GD GD GD GD GD FR GD GD GD
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 36 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (150700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................0 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 151 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 10 10 10 11 11 14 17 20 22 24 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 39 39 41 44 47 49 51 52 53 53 53
RH..............59 59 57 50 41 35 31 29 27 25 25 24
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 16 15 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.23 24 25 25 24 24 25 25 25 24 22 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 25 29 32 36 36 36 36 35 33 32
ADI.............31 59 59 70 82 94 101 107 151 129 64 0
VRATE KT-FT/1K..69 67 64 78 95 112 130 147 164 160 155 151
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL
FORECASTER...MPS
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ACHEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605524.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL_ACHEY@FWS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page