613  
FNUS71 KPHI 131121  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JUMP CIRCLE RX...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
721 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT AND PULLS A MAINLY DRY COLD  
FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION, THEN HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS INTO  
OUR AREA LATER SATURDAY. AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS WELL TO OUR  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY, A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS  
ACROSS OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATER TUESDAY  
INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY THEN ARRIVE LATER WEDNESDAY OR  
THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (111900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................34 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 86 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 64 79 77 76 81 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............43 44 47 47 47 48 46  
RH..............43 41 38 40 40 39 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 10 13 14 15 15 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 22 24 26 29 30 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 13 16 20 24 28 30  
ADI.............34 46 62 56 69 79 86  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 42 59 74 89 102 112  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR GD GD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 10 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21  
TO 23 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (66600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO GOOD (31300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................14 TO 43.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........69 53 38 22 28 35 22 17 24 29 11 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 45 43 44 44 45 46 46 46 45 44 43  
RH..............45 49 57 57 62 62 63 60 58 60 60 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 13 13 13 12 10 10 10 10 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 30 28 28 28 28 26 24 22 23 24 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.6 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 22 24 25 24 24 23 22 21 22 23  
ADI.............43 24 29 32 34 32 16 15 15 14 15 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 31 41 45 50 53 67 66 64 64 52 59  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 40 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (149700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (162600  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................34 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 129 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 6 7 10 12 14 17 19 18 18 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 40 41 42 44 47 49 51 52 53 54 53  
RH..............57 55 48 46 41 37 34 30 29 28 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 18 16 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 25 23 24 25 28 30 30 33 32 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.1 2.2 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 30 39 39 40 40 40 38 39 37 35  
ADI.............34 86 60 109 110 115 119 124 120 129 122 116  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..70 71 56 137 142 150 163 176 178 202 195 188  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD FR VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL  
 

 
FORECASTER...MPS  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ACHEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605524.0/PHI  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL_ACHEY@FWS.GOV  
 
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