628  
FNUS71 KPHI 131603  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WARREN GROVE RANGE 26...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
1203 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT AND PULLS A MAINLY DRY COLD  
FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION, THEN HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS INTO  
OUR AREA LATER SATURDAY. AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS WELL TO OUR  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY, A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS  
ACROSS OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATER TUESDAY  
INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY THEN ARRIVE LATER WEDNESDAY OR  
THURSDAY.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 40 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (70700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (177400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................71 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 150 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 6 14 17 19 21 22 24 28 33 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 41 42 45 48 50 51 52 53 54 53  
RH..............55 48 46 40 35 31 30 28 27 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 17 15 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 23 24 25 28 31 31 33 32 25 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.0 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 30 39 39 40 40 39 39 37 36 33  
ADI.............86 71 105 108 113 118 119 124 120 116 150  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..71 77 129 136 145 159 169 183 187 182 177  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 15  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (100200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................104 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........41 46 50 60 69 85 85 87 89 88 90 92  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 49 46 42 40 39 38 37 36 36 36 36  
RH..............29 33 37 44 50 52 52 54 56 56 56 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW N N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 3 5 5 3 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 10 7 8 7 6 6 5 5 6 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 21 15 14 12 10 9 8 7 7 8 8  
ADI.............104 14 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..100 43 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 7  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...MPS  
REQUESTED BY...ANDY TONNESEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605656.0/PHI  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDY.TONNESEN@DEP.NJ.GOV  
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