068  
FNUS71 KPHI 251354  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TCB UNITS 45 AND 6...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
954 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY. ON THURSDAY, A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION.  
THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY A COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO  
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (51700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 73 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 52 49 37 23 23 26 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 72 76 77 77 78 77 77  
RH..............81 73 64 62 62 60 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 3 5 7 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.9 3.9 4.6 5.2 5.7 5.3 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W SW W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 8 10 10 9  
ADI.............9 17 28 40 52 73 68 52  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 12 19 28 37 52 48 36  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................2 TO 23 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........38 38 50 63  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 40  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 40  
TEMP............75 66 62 60  
RH..............69 87 93 100  
20 FT WIND......SW 2G6 N 0G2 N 0G2 S 1G5  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 400 400 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 S 5 S 7 S 7  
ADI.............23 M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 2 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (24400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........69 78 83 92  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............40 70 70 90  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 70 70 90  
TEMP............61 66 74 76  
RH..............100 97 84 82  
20 FT WIND......S 2G7 S 5G10 S 7G15 S 7G16  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1000 1700 2100  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 10 S 12 S 13  
ADI.............M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 9 17 23  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...MANNING  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2620491.0/PHI  
.DELDT 08/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PMCELHENNY@TNC.ORG  
 
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