377
FXUS65 KPIH 020922
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
322 AM MDT WED APR 2 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH CONVECTIVE SNOW
SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MIXED
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE VALLEYS.
- DRY WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES WARM.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MDT WED APR 2 2025
COLD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MAINLY
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUING. GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS FOR
THE MOST PART TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT ALTHOUGH IN A HEAVIER SHOWER
THIS AFTERNOON LOCALLY A COUPLE INCHES MAY FALL IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE AGAIN IN THE 30S MOUNTAINS AND
40S VALLEYS. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE TEENS AND 20S MOUNTAINS AND 20S
TO AROUND 30 VALLEYS. LITTLE CHANGES ON THURSDAY WITH UPPER TROF
REMAINING IN PLACE WITH CONVECTIVE SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
THE LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AGAIN AND CONTINUED WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING WITH 30S TO LOWER 40S MOUNTAINS AND 40S
TO AROUND 50 AGAIN IN THE VALLEYS. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT AGAIN
TEENS MOUNTAINS AND 20S TO AROUND 30 IN THE VALLEYS ONCE AGAIN.
GK
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MDT WED APR 2 2025
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST ON FRIDAY. WE
MAY STILL SEE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ON FRIDAY, BUT ANY ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE LIGHT. RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING DRY WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. MODELS
CONTINUE TO PICK UP ON A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO OUR AREA FOR
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM DOESN'T LOOK LIKE A SIGNIFICANT
STORM AND SHOULD JUST PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS IF
IT MATERIALIZES. THEN THE RIDGE STRENGTHEN WITH DRY WEATHER FOR
WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND. TEMPS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL
FRIDAY, BUT QUICKLY RISE ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND AND THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE FLIRTING WITH 70
DEGREE TEMPS MY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1030 PM MDT TUE APR 1 2025
PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN THE AMOUNT OF RISK, JUST
NOT IN THE EXACT TIMING. SHOWERS ARE ALREADY MOVING IN AGAIN IN
THE NORTHWEST FLOW, BUT THE RISK HAS BEEN LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
UNTIL SOMEWHERE AROUND 02/10Z TO 02/17Z WHEN IT SPIKES UP TO
JUST BELOW 30 PERCENT, BUT FOR SOME AIRDROMES THE CIG RISK OF
MARGINAL VFR SPIKES MUCH HIGHER, SUCH AS KIDA--WHERE THERE IS
EVEN A RISK OF IFR SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER,
AROUND 02/14Z. KDIJ IS AT RISK FOR SOME REDUCED VSBY DUE TO
SHSN. THE FARTHER SOUTH, THE LESS RISK OF IMPACTED OPERATIONS.
WITH AFTERNOON HEATING, THE SHOWERS AND CIGS RETURN BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND LAST INTO THE EVENING, SHUTTING OFF BETWEEN 03/00Z
AND 03/02Z, DEPENDING ON LOCATION.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GK
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...MESSICK
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