620
FXUS65 KPIH 050351
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
951 PM MDT FRI JUL 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
70S AND 80S.
- VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BY SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH AN OVERALL WARMING TREND AS
WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE 90S AND EVEN APPROACHING
100 FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS BY NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 121 PM MDT FRI JUL 4 2025
MAIN IMPACT WILL BE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
ALL OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED
SEVERE DEVELOPMENT WITH HAIL OVER 1 INCH AND WINDS OVER 58 MPH.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WAPITI BURN SCAR
WEST OF STANLEY AS ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM HAS POTENTIAL TO DUMP
A BRIEF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE BURN SITE. EXPECT A DISSIPATION OF
ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AFTER 9 PM WITH IMPROVING
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. BE AWARE THAN ANY AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING ACTIVITIES TODAY COULD BE IMPACTED BY THUNDERSTORMS. IT
WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S MOUNTAINS AND
40S AND 50S VALLEYS. IT WILL REMAIN COOL AND BELOW NORMAL
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S MOUNTAINS AND 80S
VALLEYS. ALL THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE IN THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS WITH DRY CONDITIONS OVER RIDING ALL OTHER AREAS. WILL
HAVE BREEZY AREAS SATURDAY WITH 10 TO 20 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS IN
THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY WITH THE HIGHEST
WINDS IN THE ARCO DESERT.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 121 PM MDT FRI JUL 4 2025
LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE A LOW IMPACT PERIOD IT LOOKS RIGHT NOW.
WE HAVE NO PRECIPITATION IN THE GRIDS WITH HOT CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S AND 80S AGAIN ON SUNDAY BUT
RISE TO THE 80S MOUNTAINS AND 90S VALLEYS BY MONDAY CONTINUING
THROUGH FRIDAY. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WINDS WILL LIKELY BE
IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE ACROSS MOST AREAS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 949 PM MDT FRI JUL 4 2025
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE LEFT OUR TAF SITES FINALLY, SO EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SUNDAY'S WEATHER WILL BE
MUCH QUIETER WITH ALL SITES STAYING DRY. THE ONE SMALL CAVEAT IS A
10 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM NEAR DIJ IN THE
AFTERNOON, BUT WILL LEAVE IT OUT OF THE TAF FOR NOW. WINDS WILL BE A
LITTLE BREEZY AT TIMES ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 20KTS AT
ALL SITES EXCEPT FOR IDA WHERE GUSTS AROUND 25KTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 121 PM MDT FRI JUL 4 2025
MAIN IMPACT IS SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF GREATER
THAN 50 MPH POSSIBLE. ALL ZONES WILL AT LEAST HAVE THAT
POTENTIAL. BY SATURDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED TO ZONES 475, 476, 411 AND 413. NEXT
IMPACT WILL BE A RETURN TO HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY WITH
WIDESPREAD BELOW 15 PERCENT MINIMUM HUMIDITY AND LOW ELEVATIONS
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S AND 80S IN HIGH ELEVATIONS.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GK
LONG TERM...GK
AVIATION...AMM
FIRE WEATHER...GK
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