075
FXUS65 KPIH 051123
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
523 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN AREAS
TODAY.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN
THE 70S AND 80S.
- VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BY SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH AN OVERALL WARMING TREND AS
WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE 90S AND EVEN APPROACHING
100 FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS BY NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 207 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025
EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY (NORTHERN CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, LOST RIVER RANGE, MONTANA
DIVIDE, AND ALONG THE NORTHERN WYOMING/IDAHO BORDER) COMBINED
WITH BREEZY GUSTS OF 20 TO 35 MPH AS A TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. THE SEVERE PREDICTION CENTER (SPC) HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF
CONVECTION IN THE ISLAND PARK AREA AND ALONG THE NORTHERN
WYOMING/IDAHO BORDER FROM MONTANA SOUTH TO AROUND DRIGGS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL START BUILDING BACK IN BY LATE TODAY BRINGING BACK
DRY CONDITIONS AND OVERALL LIGHT WINDS LATE TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TODAY (4 TO 8
DEGREES) AND RISE TO NEAR NORMAL BY SUNDAY.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 207 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025
EXPECT VERY DRY CONDITIONS, OVERALL LIGHT WINDS, AND WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO AROUND 6 TO 12
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY. A VERY WEAK WAVE/TROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WILL DROP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY (3 TO 6
DEGREES) AND BRING AN SLIGHT UPTICK IN AFTERNOON WINDS (GUSTS OF
AROUND 20 MPH).
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 514 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025
THERE WILL BE A WEAK TROUGH MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY BEFORE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY. EXPECT
INCREASED WINDS FOR ALL TAF SITES WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 20KTS
THIS AFTERNOON. KIDA WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS, UP TO
AROUND 25 KTS. HAVE ADDED A PROB30 FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR KDIJ
AS THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON HAVE INCREASED
SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUN. CLOUDS WILL CLEAR OUT
EARLY THIS EVENING AND REMAINING CLEAR INTO SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 207 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025
EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY (FOR ALL ZONES EXCEPT 422, 425, AND 427) COMBINED WITH
BREEZY GUSTS OF 20 TO 35 MPH AS A TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START BUILDING BACK IN BY LATE TODAY. IT
WILL TURN HOT AGAIN, WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES (80S TO
90S) BY MONDAY WITH A RETURN TO VERY DRY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES (BELOW 15%). A WEAK WAVE ON LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WILL BRING SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, BREEZY
WINDS, AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES BY AROUND 3 TO 6
DEGREES.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TW
LONG TERM...TW
AVIATION...TW
FIRE WEATHER...TW
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