607
FXUS65 KPIH 161751
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1151 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY.
- DRIER WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, BEFORE OUR NEXT, FASTER-MOVING STORM SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2025
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AS
THE RESPONSIBLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/EASTERN HIGHLANDS MAY SEE ANOTHER 0.10
TO 0.25 INCHES OF RAIN. COOLER TEMPERATURES FOLLOW TONIGHT,
WITH LOWS DROPPING TO AROUND FREEZING FOR MANY LOWER ELEVATION
AREAS. AS THE GROWING SEASON HAS CONCLUDED, NO FURTHER FROST OR
FREEZE ALERTS WILL BE ISSUED UNTIL SPRING.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 134 PM MDT WED OCT 15 2025
FRIDAY WILL FEATURE CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING ACROSS THE AREA
AS HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS OVER THE REGION, ALBEIT BRIEFLY.
WILL LIKELY SEE SOME LINGERING CLOUDS FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY
ALONG WITH MAYBE SOME ISOLATED/SCATTERED PRECIP CHANCES IN THE
EASTERN HIGHLANDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS; OTHERWISE,
MOST OF THE REGION SHOULD BE DRY. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY REGIONWIDE WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ON THE COOLER SIDE
OF NORMAL. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY IN THE EXTENDED WITH
60S LIKELY IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE S/SW
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL SWING THROUGH
THE REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY
ON MONDAY. WHEN THIS HAPPENS, EXPECT CLOUDS AND PRECIP CHANCES TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING AND FOR A GOOD PART OF THE
DAY ON MONDAY WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPS LOOKING INCREASINGLY LIKELY FOR
THE DAY ON MONDAY. HIGHS LOOK LIKELY TO ONLY TOP OUT IN THE 40S ON
MONDAY THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP IN
THE FORECAST. ONCE AGAIN, EXPECT SOME HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WITH THIS
FEATURE, LIKELY ABOVE 6000 FT. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE A QUICK
MOVER HOWEVER AND WILL LIKELY BE WELL EAST OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK
TUESDAY. THE UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW THOUGH WHICH WILL
KEEP COOLER AIR IN PLACE TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY, ABOUT 5-10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL, BUT THOSE DAYS DO APPEAR THAT THEY'LL BE DRY
AT THE PRESENT TIME.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1150 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2025
STILL SEEING LINGERING LOWER CLOUDS ACROSS REGION THIS AFTERNOON
INCLUDING SOME STRATUS BARELY SNEAKING INTO KSUN WITH THE
SOUTHERLY FLOW PUSHING SOME OF IT UP THE VALLEY. IN THEORY,
SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING AT ALL TERMINALS, EXCEPT KDIJ, OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ALLOWING FOR MORE MVFR OR LOW END VFR TO PREVAIL
INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE THE CLEARING SHOULD IMPROVE MORE
AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE OVERNIGHT. COULD HAVE SOME TROUBLE WITH
OVERNIGHT STRATUS/FOG THOUGH WITH RECENT RAINFALL KEEPING
MOISTURE TRAPPED IN THE LOWER LEVELS SO THIS WILL BE SOMETHING
TO WATCH OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE AM HOURS ON FRIDAY. CURRENT
FORECAST HINTS AT THIS POTENTIAL BUT KEEPS THINGS VFR FOR THE
TIME BEING. WE'LL HAVE TO SEE WHERE THINGS TREND OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 253 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2025
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AS
THE RESPONSIBLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
EXPECT A BRIEF BREAK WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, BEFORE OUR NEXT TROUGH BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY. WINDS MAY BE A BIT BREEZIER WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM...MCKAUGHAN
AVIATION...MCKAUGHAN
FIRE WEATHER...01
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