548
FXUS65 KPIH 090400
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
900 PM MST SAT NOV 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS UNTIL THE END OF NEXT WEEK
- POCKETS OF FOG AND STRATUS POSSIBLE
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1147 AM MST SAT NOV 8 2025
DRY CONDITIONS ARE HERE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WE DID SEE A POCKET OR TWO OF
DENSE FREEZING AND/OR LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING. THERE ISN'T A
STRONG HINT OF IT, BUT BASED ON TRENDS FOR TONIGHT AND WHAT
HAPPENED LAST NIGHT...WE ADDED THAT POTENTIAL FOR THE STANLEY
BASIN AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SNAKE PLAIN INTO ISLAND PARK.
WE DO EXPECT A FEW POCKETS A REPEAT OF IT IN A FEW VALLEY
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HIGHLANDS. THE POTENTIAL ISSUE
ISN'T HUGE AT ALL BUT WE CAN'T NECESSARILY IGNORE IT EITHER.
WITH A STORM CLIPPING US TOMORROW NIGHT, WE ARE NOT LOOKING FOR
EITHER TO DEVELOP AS THE AIRMASS SHOULD REMAIN "MIXED". HIGHS ON
SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER WITH MOSTLY 50S FOR THE WARMER VALLEYS AND
WITHIN ANY INVERSION LAYERS THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1147 AM MST SAT NOV 8 2025
A LOW PASSING WELL TO OUR NIGHT, WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS
MONDAY AND IS JUST ABOUT IT. WE COULD SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS IN A
FEW SPOTS, BUT CERTAINLY NOT ANYTHING WIDESPREAD OR IMPACTFUL AT
ALL. WE WILL LIKELY SEE A BRIEF RETURN OF PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS
FOR MIDWEEK AS THE RIDGE QUICKLY REBOUNDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT
PATTERN CHANGE. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S DURING THIS
STRETCH. WE SHOULD SEE SOME INCREASING CLOUDS ON THURSDAY, AND
PRECIPITATION RETURNING IF YOU BELIEVE THE BLEND OF MODELS. IT
IS LIKELY PICKING UP ON SOME OF THE ENSEMBLE FORECASTS BRINGING
THE NEXT STORM IN EARLIER. THE TREND OVERALL THOUGH SEEMS TO BE
PUSHING THE BULK OF THIS EVENT HOLDING OFF UNTIL FRIDAY IF NOT
NEXT WEEKEND. STAY TUNED.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 900 PM MST SAT NOV 8 2025
EAST IDAHO REMAINS VFR WITH HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING OVER THE TOP OF
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MODELS ARE LESS CONFIDENT ON REDEVELOPMENT OF
FOG/STRATUS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, BUT HAVE BLENDED WITH PERSISTENCE FOR
IDA WITH A NOD/TREND TOWARD THE POTENTIAL AFTER 10Z TONIGHT.|
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KEYES
LONG TERM...KEYES
AVIATION...13
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