302
FXUS65 KPIH 100918
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
218 AM MST MON NOV 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
- POCKETS OF FOG AND STRATUS THROUGH MIDWEEK
- PRECIPITATION RETURNS AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 147 AM MST MON NOV 10 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY TODAY AND TUESDAY OVER SOUTHEAST
IDAHO WITH A WEAK WAVE PASSING OVER NORTHERN IDAHO AND MONTANA.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING
INTO TUESDAY. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH,
MAINLY IN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND RIDGE TOPS. THERE COULD BE A
RETURN OF SOME PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING BUT FOG WILL BE LESS
LIKELY UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1132 AM MST
SUN NOV 9 2025
WE STAY DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BASED ON THE LATEST TRENDS.
WE WOULD EXPECT MORE POCKETS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS TUESDAY NIGHT
AS HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY WITH MORE 60S EXPECTED FOR AFTERNOON
HIGHS. CURRENT TRENDS HAVE HELD WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR
PRECIPITATION BY THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
THERE MIGHT A LITTLE MORE EVIDENCE IN THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES
OF THE NEXT OVERALL LOW TO COME ACROSS IDAHO IN MULTIPLE ROUNDS
VS A MORE CONSOLIDATED PUSH HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS LENDS
ITSELF TO THE IDEA OF THE FIRST ROUND COMING THURSDAY INSTEAD
OF HOLDING OFF UNTIL FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. ONCE THE NEXT STORM AND
PATTERN CHANGE HAPPENS, WE WILL BE RIGHT BACK TO SEEING HIGHS
IN THE 40S DOWN LOW.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 925 PM MST SUN NOV 9 2025
CLOUD CONDITIONS STAY SKC-FEW ABOVE FL150, EXCEPT FOR SOME
POSSIBLE VALLEY STRATUS AT KDIJ AND KSUN IN THE MORNING. AN
EXTENDED WEAK PERCENTAGE OF MARGINAL VFR IS ALSO IN THE DATA FOR
KPIH AND KIDA, BUT STILL DOESN'T GET TO THE LEVEL WHERE IT IS
WORTH MENTIONING, AT LESS THAN 15 PERCENT RISK. THIS STRATUS
COULD WIND UP BEING BR INSTEAD, SO IT MAY BE SEEN IN VSBY
INSTEAD.
WIND IS FORECAST TO BE EVEN MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE, ESPECIALLY
AT KSUN AND KPIH. BUT OVERALL IT STAYS AT 8KT OR LESS AND
MOSTLY FOLLOWS THE SLOPE-VALLEY EFFECT, ESPECIALLY AT KSUN.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TW
LONG TERM...KEYES
AVIATION...MESSICK
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