628
FXUS65 KPIH 262043
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
143 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND DEVELOPS TODAY, CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT
SATURDAY, WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION IN SIGHT, STICKING TO
MOUNTAIN AND HIGHLAND AREAS.
- REBUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE COULD PROVIDE RENEWED BOUTS
OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG AT TIMES THIS COMING WEEK. CONFIDENCE IN
THIS IS LOW THOUGH.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 142 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AMPLE SUNSHINE ACROSS EASTERN
IDAHO THIS AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH THIS WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. TO OUR EAST, A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS PUSHING ACROSS
EASTERN OREGON AND WESTERN IDAHO AND THIS WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR
AREA DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO TUESDAY.
INCREASED CLOUD COVER IS REALLY THE ONLY NOTICEABLE IMPACT
ALTHOUGH CAN'T RULE OUT SOME A VERY ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER/FLURRY.
CHANCES ARE LIKELY 10 PERCENT, OR LESS, SO OPTED TO NOT INCLUDE
ANY MENTION IN THE FORECAST AS IT SHOULDN'T BE ANYTHING
IMPACTFUL IF IT DOES TRANSPIRE. SHOULD ALREADY BE SEEING SOME
CLEARING AS WE GET INTO THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TOMORROW AS HIGH
PRESSURE AGAIN WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE AREA. THIS SHOULD LEAD
TO TEMPS NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE REGION
TOMORROW. NBM CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH TEMPS IN THE STANLEY
BASIN SO NUDGED THOSE DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY BUT EVERYWHERE ELSE
SEEMS PRETTY REASONABLE AS LONG AS WE CAN AVOID ANY UNFORESEEN
STRATUS ISSUES IN THE SNAKE PLAIN AND MAGIC VALLEY. IN SHORT, IT
SHOULD BE GENERALLY UNEVENTFUL FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 142 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
MAINLY QUIET TREND CONTINUES INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST WITH WEDNESDAY LIKELY BE THE MOST "ACTIVE" DAY FOR
WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM WILL SWING THROUGH
THE REGION BRINGING AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW
SHOWERS/FLURRIES TO PARTS OF EASTERN IDAHO. POPS ARE MAINLY
LIMITED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
EASTERN HIGHLANDS BUT ANY PRECIP THAT IS REALIZED, SHOULDN'T BE
TOO IMPACTFUL AS THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ACCOMPANIED WITH MUCH IN THE
WAY OF MOISTURE. MOST LOWER VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY
ALTHOUGH A STRAY FLURRY OR SHOWER IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. AS WE
MOVE INTO THURSDAY AND THE WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO KEEP THE REGION MOSTLY DRY AND TEMPERATURES TRENDING ON THE
WARM SIDE OF SEASONAL NORMS. A FEW WEAK IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH
THE UPPER FLOW COULD SPARK SOME ISOLATED POPS ACROSS SOME HIGHER
ELEVATION SPOTS ON FRIDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY BUT AGAIN, NOT
EXPECTING ANYTHING OF SIGNIFICANCE IN REGARDS TO QPF AND
ACCUMULATION. IF WE CAN AVOID ANY RETURN OF LOWER VALLEY STRATUS
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS, WE SHOULD
CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS AS WE
MOVE TOWARDS THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL, QUIET WEATHER REMAINS IN PLACE AS WE MOVE INTO FEBRUARY
WITH THIS UNUSUALLY QUIET WINTER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE
REGION.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1028 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
THE STRATUS MACHINE HAS FINALLY QUITE PRODUCING LOW CLOUDS
IN AND AROUND OUR TAF SITES. WHILE THERE IS SOME STRATUS AROUND
ISLAND PARK, THERE IS NO EXPECTATION OF THAT MOVING BACK DOWN
THE SNAKE PLAIN, OR ANY OTHER POCKETS OF LOW CLOUDS TO FORM
TONIGHT. WE ARE SEEING INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WE MIGHT SEE SOME FLURRIES OR BRIEF LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS, BUT POTENTIAL IS WAY TOO LOW TO PUT IN TAF RIGHT
NOW AND LIKELY WILL REMAIN THAT WAY. ALL OF THAT SAID, WE ARE IN
A PATTERN WHERE IT STILL GETS VERY COLD AT NIGHT IN THE
VALLEYS. WITH LIGHTER WINDS AROUND, WE COULD EASILY LOCALIZED
FOG DEVELOP AT ALL SITES EXCEPT SUN. THE POTENTIAL IS LESS THAN
10% BUT STILL NOT ZERO.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MCKAUGHAN
LONG TERM...MCKAUGHAN
AVIATION...KEYES
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