012
FXUS65 KPIH 270922
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
222 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH LITTLE
PRECIPITATION IN SIGHT, STICKING TO MOUNTAIN AND HIGHLAND
AREAS.
- REBUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE COULD PROVIDE RENEWED BOUTS
OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG AT TIMES THIS COMING WEEK. CONFIDENCE IN
THIS IS LOW THOUGH.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 220 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS
MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE REBOUNDS OVER THE REGION. AMPLE
SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW DAYTIME TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 30S
AND 40S OR ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. ANOTHER TROUGH
WILL QUICKLY SHIFT THROUGH TOMORROW, WHICH WILL BRING OUR BEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CLOUD COVER
WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN THIS EVENING AND DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL TAKE A FEW DEGREE HIT. THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND MID-
ELEVATIONS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN, WITH UP TO
TWO INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION FORECAST GENERALLY ABOVE 6,000
FEET ELEVATION.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 142 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
AS WE MOVE INTO THURSDAY AND THE WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP THE REGION MOSTLY DRY AND TEMPERATURES TRENDING
ON THE WARM SIDE OF SEASONAL NORMS. A FEW WEAK IMPULSES MOVING
THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW COULD SPARK SOME ISOLATED POPS ACROSS
SOME HIGHER ELEVATION SPOTS ON FRIDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY BUT
AGAIN, NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING OF SIGNIFICANCE IN REGARDS TO QPF
AND ACCUMULATION. IF WE CAN AVOID ANY RETURN OF LOWER VALLEY
STRATUS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS, WE
SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS AS
WE MOVE TOWARDS THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL, QUIET WEATHER REMAINS IN PLACE AS WE MOVE INTO
FEBRUARY WITH THIS UNUSUALLY QUIET WINTER CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
THE REGION.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1030 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, SUPPORTING FEW TO NO IMPACTS
TO AVIATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST IDAHO. WEAK DISTURBANCES/SHORTWAVES
WILL SUPPORT MID- TO HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS AT TIMES AND PERHAPS A VERY
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER (POTENTIAL FAR TOO LOW TO MENTION EVEN VCSH IN
ANY OF THE TAFS), BUT SIGNIFICANT WINDS, LOWER CLOUDS, OR FOG/LOW
STRATUS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CROPP
LONG TERM...MCKAUGHAN
AVIATION...01
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