088
FXUS65 KPIH 150552
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1152 PM MDT SAT MAR 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT NOT AS
STRONG AS SATURDAY
- LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY
- A MAJOR WARMING TREND FOLLOWS THIS SYSTEM, WITH POTENTIAL
RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S EXPECTED
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1137 PM MDT SAT MAR 14 2026
WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN IDAHO THIS MORNING,
BUT THE WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS ARE DONE. THAT SAID, WE WILL BE
BREEZY ON OCCASION THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. EVEN WITH HIGH
PRESSURE EVENTUALLY BUILDING NORTH, WE NEVER GET COMPLETELY OUT
FROM UNDER THE EDGE OF STRONGER FLOW OFF THE SURFACE. AT THE
MOMENT, WE ARE NOT SEEING ANYTHING IMMINENT THAT WOULD CAUSE
CONCERN FOR HEADLINE-WORTHY WINDS OR BIGGER ISSUES WITH BLOWING
DUST. WE WILL NEED TO WATCH HOW THINGS TREND. WE SHOULD BE DRY
UNTIL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THAT IS WHEN THE NEXT SURGE OF
MOISTURE SLIDES ACROSS THE STATE. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND
MAINLY IMPACTING THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, EASTERN, AND
SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS. WE DO DRY OUT BEYOND THAT, ALTHOUGH OUR
BLEND OF MODELS INSISTS ON KEEPING SOME OCCASIONAL LIGHT
PRECIPITATION ACROSS LEMHI COUNTY AND FLIRTING WITH THE FRANK
CHURCH. EVEN WITH THAT POTENTIAL, ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL COMING OUR WAY. BEFORE THAT THOUGH, IT WILL BE CHILLY
TODAY. HIGHS WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE LOW TO MID 40S TODAY, WHICH
IS ABOUT 10 DEGREES COLDER THAN AHEAD OF THE FRONT SATURDAY, AND
BELOW AVERAGE. THAT IS QUICKLY ERASED AS WE ARE BACK INTO THE
50S AND 60S TOMORROW. DETERMINISTIC BLEND TEMPERATURES PUSH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MOST OF THE SNAKE PLAIN AND
SURROUNDING LOWER ELEVATION AREAS BY MID WEEK. PROBABILISTIC
DATA STILL SUPPORTIVE OF TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 80 BY
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, ESPECIALLY FOR THE SOUTHERN EXTENT
OF THE SNAKE PLAIN BETWEEN ROUGHLY POCATELLO AND THE MAGIC
VALLEY. DETERMINISTIC VALUES ARE RUNNING SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
THE ENSEMBLE SPREADS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1037 PM MDT SAT MAR 14 2026
WINDS HAVE BACKED OFF, FOR THE MOST PART. IDA, PIH AND DIJ HAVE
WINDS FROM THE NORTH CURRENTLY. IDA HAS WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40
KNOTS CURRENTLY, WITH SLIGHTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY FROM BLOWING
DUST. WINDS FOR IDA AND OTHER TAF SITES WILL LIKELY BACK OFF BY
AROUND 9Z. CLOUDS WILL MOSTLY CLEAR OUT FOR MOST TAF SITES THIS
EVENING INTO TOMORROW MORNING WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
FROM THE WEST. MODELS DO SHOW A WEAK WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
HIGH PRESSURE LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO TOMORROW EVENING.
EXPECT GUSTS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS FOR IDA, PIH AND BYI IN THE
AFTERNOON TOMORROW. WINDS WILL BACK OFF SOME IN THE EARLY
EVENING. HAVE PUT IN VCSH FOR ALL TAF SITES CURRENTLY FOR THE
EARLY EVENING AND HAVE LOWERED CIGS FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING TOMORROW. ALL TAF SITES LOOK TO REMAIN VFR.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...DMH/KEYES
AVIATION...TW
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