911
FXUS65 KPIH 151741
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1141 AM MDT SUN MAR 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT NOT AS
STRONG AS SATURDAY
- LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY
- A MAJOR WARMING TREND FOLLOWS THIS SYSTEM, WITH POTENTIAL
RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S EXPECTED
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1137 PM MDT SAT MAR 14 2026
WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN IDAHO THIS MORNING,
BUT THE WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS ARE DONE. THAT SAID, WE WILL BE
BREEZY ON OCCASION THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. EVEN WITH HIGH
PRESSURE EVENTUALLY BUILDING NORTH, WE NEVER GET COMPLETELY OUT
FROM UNDER THE EDGE OF STRONGER FLOW OFF THE SURFACE. AT THE
MOMENT, WE ARE NOT SEEING ANYTHING IMMINENT THAT WOULD CAUSE
CONCERN FOR HEADLINE-WORTHY WINDS OR BIGGER ISSUES WITH BLOWING
DUST. WE WILL NEED TO WATCH HOW THINGS TREND. WE SHOULD BE DRY
UNTIL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THAT IS WHEN THE NEXT SURGE OF
MOISTURE SLIDES ACROSS THE STATE. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND
MAINLY IMPACTING THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, EASTERN, AND
SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS. WE DO DRY OUT BEYOND THAT, ALTHOUGH OUR
BLEND OF MODELS INSISTS ON KEEPING SOME OCCASIONAL LIGHT
PRECIPITATION ACROSS LEMHI COUNTY AND FLIRTING WITH THE FRANK
CHURCH. EVEN WITH THAT POTENTIAL, ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL COMING OUR WAY. BEFORE THAT THOUGH, IT WILL BE CHILLY
TODAY. HIGHS WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE LOW TO MID 40S TODAY, WHICH
IS ABOUT 10 DEGREES COLDER THAN AHEAD OF THE FRONT SATURDAY, AND
BELOW AVERAGE. THAT IS QUICKLY ERASED AS WE ARE BACK INTO THE
50S AND 60S TOMORROW. DETERMINISTIC BLEND TEMPERATURES PUSH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MOST OF THE SNAKE PLAIN AND
SURROUNDING LOWER ELEVATION AREAS BY MID WEEK. PROBABILISTIC
DATA STILL SUPPORTIVE OF TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 80 BY
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, ESPECIALLY FOR THE SOUTHERN EXTENT
OF THE SNAKE PLAIN BETWEEN ROUGHLY POCATELLO AND THE MAGIC
VALLEY. DETERMINISTIC VALUES ARE RUNNING SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
THE ENSEMBLE SPREADS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1122 AM MDT SUN MAR 15 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH ONLY
POSSIBILITY OF PRECIPIATION AT DIJ AFTER 12Z. HAVE SHOWERS
VICINITY AS SOME MOISTURE IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SKIRTS EXTREME
EASTERN IDAHO BUT THINK UNDER 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SEEING
ANYTHING AT DIJ. HAVE NOTHING AT THE OTHER 4 SITES THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OTHER THAN SOME MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER. WILL HAVE
10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS AT BYI, PIH AND IDA THIS AFTERNOON.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...DMH/KEYES
AVIATION...GK
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