407
FXUS65 KPIH 110841
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
241 AM MDT THU JUN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WITH FROST ADVISORY AND FREEZE
WARNING HEADLINES FOR THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN.
- DRYING AND WARMING TREND ALONG WITH PERIODS OF BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO END THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- CRITICAL WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 425
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 217 AM MDT THU JUN 11 2026
MUCH OF THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY WILL SEE
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S TO START WITH THIS
MORNING, SO A FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CONTINUED FOR THE SNAKE
RIVER PLAIN ALONG WITH A FROST ADVISORY FOR THE BURLEY ZONE.
IT'S A NEARLY 100% GUARANTEE THAT ALL OF THESE HIGHLIGHTED ZONES
WILL MEET AT LEAST FROST ADVISORY ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH THE
"WARMEST" TEMPERATURES BEING IN BURLEY AND POCATELLO AT 37
DEGREES, BUT IT'S FARTHER OUT IN THE PLAIN THAT THE COLDER
TEMPERATURES WILL BE FOUND. THERE'S A 50 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT FORT HALL AND BLACKFOOT WILL FALL TO 32 DEGREES OR COLDER
WITH THAT BEING CLOSER TO A 70 PERCENT CHANCE AROUND ATOMIC
CITY.
TODAY TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM AND CONDITIONS WILL BE
DRIER FOR EVERYONE. HIGHS TODAY WILL REACH THE UPPER 60S IN THE
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND LOW TO MID 70S IN THE LOWER SNAKE
RIVER PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEARLY 10 DEGREES WARMER COMPARED TO TODAY.
WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIGHTER TODAY BEFORE BREEZY CONDITIONS
RETURN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 35 MPH. ANOTHER
TROUGH MOVES INTO SOUTHWESTERN MONTANA FOR THE WEEKEND BRINGING
CLOUDY CONDITIONS, WHICH WILL TEMPER OUR HIGHS BY A FEW DEGREES
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ARE IN THE ISLAND PARK AREA, BUT PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE LESS
THAN 10 PERCENT CURRENTLY. GUSTS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 938 PM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO GO LIGHT AT ALL SITES AND EXPECT
THAT TREND TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 12:37 PM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
LOOK FOR DRYING AND WARMING TRENDS ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS
TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE BACK TO THE
70S AND 80S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. MIN RHS WILL DROP BACK BELOW 25%
FOR MOUNTAIN AREAS AND BELOW 15% FOR THE SNAKE PLAIN, EASTERN
MAGIC VALLEY AND OUR SOUTHWEST AREAS (FIRE WEATHER ZONES 410,
425, 427, AND PORTIONS OF 413). FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, HIGHER TEMPERATURES,
AND NEAR CRITICAL FUELS WILL BRING SOME RENEWED AT LEAST LOW-END
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TO PARTS OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 410, 425
AND 427. FRIDAY WILL BE THE WINDIEST AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 425
CURRENTLY HAS BOTH CRITICAL WINDS AND CRITICAL RELATIVE
HUMIDITY.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING FOR IDZ051>054.
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING FOR IDZ055.
DISCUSSION...TW
AVIATION...13
FIRE WEATHER...TW
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