443
FXUS65 KPIH 140345
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
945 PM MDT SAT JUN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LAKE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR AMERICAN FALLS RESERVOIR
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON DUE TO BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS.
- REMAINING DRY FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS WARMING TREND BEGINS.
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH A HOT, DRY, AND WINDY FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1224 PM MDT SAT JUN 13 2026
LOOKS LIKE WE'RE IN FOR A VERY PLEASANT WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY IF YOU
HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS. HIGHS TODAY WILL REACH THE MID AND UPPER 70S
BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WHILE WINDS WILL BE A BIT BREEZY AT TIMES WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH, THESE STRONGEST WINDS LOOK TO OCCUR
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TODAY DUE TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS THAT
CREATE LARGER WAVES ON THE AMERICAN FALLS RESERVOIR. IT LOOKS LIKE
WE WILL NEED ANOTHER ONE ON SUNDAY AS THESE NORTHEAST WINDS
CONTINUE. WE ALSO REMAIN DRY WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN/ISOLATED STORM
CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND. DESPITE REMAINING IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
ON SUNDAY, WE WILL GET WARMER THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
OVER THE WEST. HIGHS RETURN TO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S FOR MANY
ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE WARMING BEGINS AND BY TUESDAY, HIGHS WILL PUSH INTO THE UPPER
80S AND LOW 90S ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN IDAHO. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
BOLSTERED IN PART BY STRONG WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 35 TO 45
MPH ACROSS MOST OF OUR CWA. GIVEN THESE STRONG WINDS, IT WOULD NOT
BE SURPRISING TO SEE A WIND ADVISORY BY THE TIME WE GET THERE. THESE
STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AND GIVE THESE WINDS
PLUS VERY DRY CONDITIONS, WE WILL SEE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS/VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH HILLS,
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY, AND SNAKE RIVER PLAIN.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 944 PM MDT SAT JUN 13 2026
LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SUN SHOULD
TRANSITION FROM DOWNVALLEY TO UPVALLEY LATE MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 145 AM MDT SAT JUN 13 2026
IN THE POST-TROUGH ENVIRONMENT, COOLER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER AFTERNOON HUMIDITY, AND THE
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THAT SETS UP OVER THE REGION WILL BE LIGHTER
THAN FRIDAY. ANOTHER TROUGH, THIS ONE TRACKING SIMILARLY THROUGH
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MT, WILL NOT PROVIDE MUCH MOISTURE THIS FAR
FROM ITS CENTER, BUT WILL KICK UP WIND STRONG ENOUGH TO BE A
MAJOR CONCERN BY TUE. IF THERE IS LITTLE INCREASE IN HUMIDITY
OR DECREASE IN TEMPERATURE, THEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
AS IT LOOKS NOW, A LARGE AREA OF LOW ELEVATION LOCATIONS AND THE
SOUTHERN SAWTOOTH NF AND PORTIONS OF THE CARIBOU NF WILL FALL
INTO THIS CATEGORY.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMM
AVIATION...13
FIRE WEATHER...MESSICK
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