841
FXUS65 KPIH 262346
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
546 PM MDT SUN JUL 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN IDAHO WITH A HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM.
EXPECT COOLING A BIT ON MONDAY AND NO HEAT ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NOT AS WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OR MONDAY. STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE ESPECIALLY
EASTER MOUNTAINS.
- CRITICAL TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS MAINLY IN NORTHERN DISTRICTS. RED FLAG
WARNINGS IN EFFECT MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 120 PM MDT SUN JUL 26 2026
THUNDERSTORMS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. HEAT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE
THIS EVENING AND WILL NOT CONTINUE IT AS MONDAY LOOKS TO BE
COOLER A BIT DESPITE VERY HOT STILL. STARTING TO SEE SOME
WILDFIRE SMOKE OVERTAKE WESTERN AREAS INTO BURLEY THIS AFTERNOON
AND ADDED IN SOME SMOKE TO GRIDS THROUGH MONDAY. EXPECT A
MOISTURE INCREASE WITH CONTINUING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH
A HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY MAINLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MODELS INDICATING DRYING
AND WARMING WITH EXTREME HEAT BACK IN PLAY THURSDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. LOW ELEVATION HIGHS BACK INTO THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND
100 AGAIN BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BUT OVERALL THIS EXTREMELY HOT
JULY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS IT WILL REMAIN
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE WISE ALL THE WAY TO THE END OF THE
MONTH.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 546 PM MDT SUN JUL 26 2026
LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT TSRA ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED TO THE
EARLY EVENING AT KIDA, KPIH AND KDIJ STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WOULD BE
THE MAIN PROBLEM OTHER THAN LIGHTNING, WITH NOTHING IMPACTFUL
EXPECTED TO CIG OR VSBY.
CIRRIFORM CLOUDS INCREASE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT SHOULD CONSTITUTE A CIG FOR KDIJ, KBYI, AND KPIH. BY 27/12Z
THE CIG WILL HAVE REACHED KIDA AND KSUN AS WELL. STILL AT MID-LEVEL
ELEVATIONS AND HIGHER, THERE SHOULD BE SOME -SHRA DURING THE
MORNING, STARTING AS EARLY AS 27/11Z. THE TSRA THREAT IS LOW IN THE
MORNING, BUT MAY HAVE TO BE MONITORED. THE EXTENSIVE MID- AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL COOL TEMPERATURES BUT WITHOUT INCREASING THE
RISK OF TSRA. INFLUX OF SMOKE FROM OREGON AND WESTERN IDAHO WILL
DECREASE VISIBILITES MAINLY IN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN WITH KBYI AND
WESTWARD APPROACHING MVFR CONDITIONS WITH LOWER VISIBILITIES AND
CEILINGS. KPIH, KIDA AND KSUN WILL SEE SOME SMOKE IN THE AFTERNOON
BUT SHOULD REMAIN IN VFR OPERATING CONDITIONS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 103 AM MDT SUN JUL 26 2026
ISOLATED STORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST HIGHLANDS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN WITH STORMS. NEAR CRITICAL WINDS/RH
EXIST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INTO THE SNAKE
RIVER PLAIN. COULD BE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOR WIND AND RH
ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY FOR THE SAME AREAS.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR IDZ051>059.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY FOR IDZ475-476.
DISCUSSION...GK
AVIATION...VP
FIRE WEATHER...13
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