126
FXUS65 KPIH 061102
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
502 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WILDFIRE SMOKE CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE AREA ON AND OFF FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. EXPECT DECREASED AIR QUALITY AT TIMES WITH AIR
QUALITY ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.
- WARMING TREND HAS BEGUN WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 100 DEGREES IN
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK, BUT INCREASING
POTENTIAL FOR MONSOON MOISTURE TO RETURN NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 151 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
WILDFIRE SMOKE TODAY IS LIKELY TO BE VERY SIMILAR TO HOW IT WAS
YESTERDAY. MEANING IT WILL STILL BE NOTICEABLE IN THE AIR AND STILL
MAKE AIR QUALITY "MODERATE" TO "UNHEALTHY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS," BUT
NOT IMPACT VISIBILITY OR BE AS THICK AS IT WAS EARLIER IN THE WEEK.
THAT SAID, AIR QUALITY ALERTS STILL CONTINUE FOR PARTS OF THE
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY TODAY. THE HEAT UP IS ON AND HIGHS TODAY ARE
LOOKING TO WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S FOR MOST OF THE SNAKE
RIVER PLAIN AND LOWER ELEVATIONS IN THE SOUTH HILLS AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR MORE MID TO UPPER 80S IN OUR MID-
ELEVATION TOWNS. WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON ONCE AGAIN WILL BE AROUND
20 TO 25 MPH FOR MANY. EXPECT FRIDAY, SATURDAY, AND SUNDAY TO BE
ALMOST IDENTICAL WEATHER DAYS WITH HIGHS BACK IN THE 90S TO LOW
TRIPLE DIGITS. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE WARMER, LIKELY
STAYING IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOW TO MID 60S FOR MANY, SO HEAT
PRODUCTS MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED LATER TODAY, ESPECIALLY FOR PARTS OF
THE EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY AND SOUTH HILLS. EARLY NEXT WEEK, TROUGHING
BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE WEST, WHICH WILL HELP FLATTEN OUR RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE AND SLOWLY PUSH IT A BIT FARTHER EAST, ALLOWING
MONSOON MOISTURE TO MAKE ITS WAY BACK INTO EAST IDAHO. WHICH, AT
THIS POINT, WE WILL WELCOME ANY POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
THIS SLIGHT PATTERN CHANGE BRINGS A SLIGHT DROP IN OUR AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES, BUT THEY WILL LIKELY STILL REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID
90S FOR THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 501 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND TONIGHT. WILDFIRE
SMOKE REMAINS IN THE ATMOSPHERE, BUT SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY IT IS NOT
FORECAST TO IMPACT VIS AT TERMINALS MORE THAN 6SM FU. WINDS REMAIN
LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY, INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KTS IN THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE RETURNING TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 151 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEAR-CRITICAL AS HIGH
PRESSURE SITS OVER THE WEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO WARM WITH HIGHS PUSHING TOWARDS THE LOWER TRIPLE DIGITS
ON FRIDAY, SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. EACH AFTERNOON WILL SEE WIND GUSTS
OF 20 TO 25 MPH FOR MOST WITH GUSTS REACHING 30 MPH ACROSS PARTS OF
THE ARCO DESERT. MIN RHS ALSO REMAIN VERY LOW, LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
FOR ALL OF EASTERN IDAHO. WE STAY JUST BELOW RED FLAG WARNING
CRITERIA FOR THE MOST PART, BUT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WIND GUSTS ON
SUNDAY COULD BE AN OPPORTUNITY TO FINALLY ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER
PRODUCT. NEXT WEEK WE SEE OUR PATTERN CHANGE SLIGHTLY AS TROUGHING
MOVES INTO THE WEST AND FLATTENS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL BRING A MINOR DROP IN TEMPERATURES LATER NEXT WEEK
AND A SMALL INCREASE IN MONSOON MOISTURE RETURNING.
AIR QUALITY
ISSUED AT 151 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
AN AIR QUALITY ALERT CONTINUES FOR CASSIA, LINCOLN, AND MINIDOKA
COUNTIES THROUGH TODAY WHERE AIR QUALITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
"MODERATE" TO "UNHEALTHY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS."
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AIR QUALITY ALERT UNTIL 1 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR IDZ051-
055>057.
DISCUSSION...AMM
AVIATION...AMM
FIRE WEATHER...AMM
AIR QUALITY...AMM
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