305
FXUS65 KPIH 082022
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
222 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WILDFIRE SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA ON AND OFF FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. EXPECT DECREASED AIR QUALITY AT TIMES WITH
AN AIR QUALITY ADVISORY REMAINING IN EFFECT FOR CUSTER COUNTY.
- HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN
MAGIC VALLEY, SOUTH HILLS, AND SNAKE RIVER PLAIN. EXPECT
SLIGHT COOLING SUNDAY WITH A COOLING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK.
- WILL SEE BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THURSDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
- VERY SMALL CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM THIS
AFTERNOON, MAINLY IN THE SOUTH HILLS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 201 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
HOT CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY WITH LOW ELEVATIONS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 90S WITH LOCALIZED AREAS REACHING 100. HEAT
ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM.
ONLY VERY LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS. GENERAL DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MID WEEK WITH
A COOLING TREND AS UPPER RIDGE FLATTENS A BIT WITH MORE OF A
WESTERLY PUSH. AREAS OF SMOKE WILL REMAIN FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS WELL WITH CUSTER COUNTY STILL IN AN AIR QUALITY
ADVISORY. BY LATE WEEK FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
WHICH MAY ALLOW SOME OF THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO RETURN WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE GRIDS THURSDAY
THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES FALL TO BELOW NORMAL WITH
THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS WELL WITH
LOW ELEVATIONS IN THE UPPER 70S AND 80S AND MOUNTAINS MAINLY
UPPER 60S AND 70S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1121 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
MAIN IMPACT WILL BE ANY POTENTIAL SMOKE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS.
AT THIS TIME DID NOT LOWER BELOW 6 MILES AND HAVE THAT AT IDA,
SUN AND BYI, BUT PIH ALSO HAS SMOKE AROUND AS WELL. THERE IS AT
LEAST A LOW PROBABILITY OF ALL SITES DROPPING BELOW 6 MILES AT
TIMES BUT FOR NOW KEPT ALL 6 OR ABOVE. EXPECT SOME 10 KNOT
GUSTING 20 KNOT UP VALLEY AFTERNOON WINDS AT PIH AND IDA AND
BYI.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 118 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FIRST
PART OF NEXT WEEK DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF CRITICAL MINIMUM RH
VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS. WHILE MIN RH WILL LARGELY RANGE 10 TO 15
PERCENT THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, WINDS WILL BE MARGINAL ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION. CONFIDENCE IN WINDS REACHING THRESHOLD IS HIGHER ACROSS
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 475 AND 476, WHERE WIDESPREAD GUSTS TO AT LEAST
25 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS REACHING 30 MPH ALONG RIDGELINES.
THEREFORE, A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THROUGH 9
PM TODAY FOR THE TWO AFOREMENTIONED ZONES. UPON EXPIRATION, THE RED
FLAG WARNING WILL NEED TO BE REISSUED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS EXTENDED
PERIOD OF DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY
SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WHICH IS WHEN WE EXPECT MORE POCKETS OF RED FLAG
CONDITIONS TO MATERIALIZE ELSEWHERE, AS WELL. A RED FLAG WARNING MAY
BE WARRANTED FOR FWZ 410 ON MONDAY DUE TO MORE WIDESPREAD 30 MPH
WIND GUSTS.
A DEEPENING TROUGH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY FLATTEN THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER IDAHO, RESULTING
IN A GRADUAL COOL-DOWN THROUGH LATE THIS UPCOMING WEEK. DAYTIME
HIGHS WILL RETURN TO AROUND NORMAL BY MID-WEEK, TURNING COOLER THAN
NORMAL LATE WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS WILL LINGER FOR ANOTHER WEEK OR SO,
WITH MODELS INDICATING THE RETURN OF MONSOON MOISTURE BY THE LATTER
HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
AIR QUALITY
ISSUED AT 209 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
AN AIR QUALITY ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUSTER COUNTY THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO AIR QUALITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE
"MODERATE" TO "UNHEALTHY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS" CATEGORIES.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR IDZ051>059-062.
AIR QUALITY ALERT UNTIL 3 PM MDT MONDAY FOR IDZ068>074.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR IDZ475-476.
DISCUSSION...GK
AVIATION...GK
FIRE WEATHER...CROPP
AIR QUALITY...AMM
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