734  
FXUS66 KPQR 161058  
AFDPQR  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR  
258 AM PST TUE DEC 16 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEK AS A FEW  
DIFFERENT FRONTAL SYSTEMS AND ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MOVE THROUGH  
THE AREA. PREPARING FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY SOUTHWEST  
WINDS, RIVER FLOODING AND POTENTIALLY HIGH CASCADE SNOW. WIND  
STRONGEST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. RAIN HEAVIEST ON  
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR RIVER  
FLOODING. SNOW POTENTIAL HIGHEST ON FRIDAY BUT UNCERTAIN.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM...NOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
THE REST OF THE WEEK  
CAN BE DESCRIBED IN ONE WORD...CHAOTIC. AS HAS BEEN ADVERTISED,  
A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS AND ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS WILL MOVE  
OVER THE REGION EACH BRINGING THEIR OWN IMPACTS. THE FIRST  
FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM MONDAY IS EXITING THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH  
POST FRONTAL SHOWERS PERSISTING. THE ENVIRONMENT IS QUITE  
CONVECTIVE SO CANNOT RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS  
ALONG THE COAST TUESDAY MORNING THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW. THE  
FRONT THAT WILL BE THE MOST IMPACTFUL FOR TUESDAY ARRIVES THIS  
AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST BUT WILL SPREAD FURTHER INLAND THROUGH  
THE EVENING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL RAMP UP WITH  
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND MOISTURE  
TRANSPORT OCCURRING VERY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL  
TOTALS HAVE VARIED AS THEY WILL GREATLY DEPEND ON THE LOCATION  
OF THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER. AS WE HAVE SEEN TIME AND TIME AGAIN,  
WHILE THE RAIN MAY BE WIDESPREAD THERE TYPICALLY IS ONE AREA  
THAT RECEIVES THE HIGHEST RAIN ACCUMULATION AND RAIN RATES. AT  
THIS POINT MODELS STILL STRUGGLE WITH THE NAM TAKING A MORE  
WIDESPREAD PATTERN WHILE OTHER HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS TRENDING  
FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COAST RANGE AND THE SOUTH WASHINGTON  
CASCADES. BECAUSE OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THE WILLAMETTE  
VALLEY MAY MISS OUT ON THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES.  
 
ANOTHER CONCERN WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS IS THE POTENTIAL  
WIND THAT WILL BE COMING. IN ORDER TO DESCRIBE IT BETTER, LETS  
LOOK AT THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE JET STREAM BOTH AT 250  
MB (35,000 FT) AND 500 MB (AROUND 10,000 FT) IS NEARLY ZONAL AND  
DIRECTED PERFECTLY CENTERED OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THROUGH  
THE DAY ON TUESDAY THOUGH IT DOES APPEAR TO BE SHIFTING SLIGHTLY  
NORTHWARD WHICH IS PUTTING NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST  
WASHINGTON INTO THE RIGHT EXIT REGION OF THE JET. THIS LOCATION  
IS NOT NECESSARILY FAVORABLE FOR INCREDIBLY ACTIVE WEATHER.  
HOWEVER, AT 500 MB THE OVERALL FLOW IS DISCONNECTED FROM IT'S  
ALOFT PARTNER OF THE JET AND REMAINS RIGHT OVER THE AREA. THIS  
MEANS THAT WE COULD SEE SOME STRONGER WINDS. BUMPING DOWN LOWER  
TO AROUND 5000 FT WE ARE SEEING WIND SPEEDS AROUND 55-60 KT  
(63-69 MPH). THOSE SPEEDS INTENSIFY EVEN FURTHER WITH SOME  
MODELS SUGGESTING WINDS AT 5000 FT BEING AROUND 75 MPH. LOOKING  
AT THE SURFACE A COMPONENT TO CONSIDER IS THE OVERALL PRESSURE  
GRADIENT. BASED ON LOCAL KNOWLEDGE, THE PATTERN IS SETTING UP TO  
BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST LATE TUESDAY, AND STRONGER  
WINDS INLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE CHALLENGE WITH THE WIND  
FORECAST IS THAT THESE WARNING AND ADVISORY LEVEL SPEEDS WILL  
NOT LAST FOR A VERY LONG PERIOD OF TIME AS THEY SIT WITHIN THE  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. FOR THOSE IN THE INLAND VALLEYS AND THE  
CASCADE FOOTHILLS, THAT FORECAST IS A BIT MORE COMPLICATED AS  
THE ORIENTATION AND AN INVERSION NEAR THE SURFACE MAY KEEP THE  
WINDS FROM MIXING DOWN. AT THIS POINT THERE IS A 50% CHANCE OF  
GUSTS GREATER THAN 45 MPH FOR HI-RESOLUTION MODELS AND A 25%  
CHANCE FOR THE NBM. THE FOOTHILLS HAVE A HIGHER PROBABILITY.  
EVEN IF STRONG WINDS INLAND DO OCCUR FOR ONLY A SHORT DURATION,  
THE IMPACTS WILL STILL BE HIGH. DUE TO VERY SATURATED SOILS  
DOWNED TREES ARE VERY POSSIBLE AND THUS CANNOT RULE OUT POWER  
OUTAGES.  
 
THE LAST COMPONENT OF THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24-HRS LIES WITH  
CONVECTIVE WEATHER. BEHIND THE FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING INLAND AND  
THE SECOND SYSTEM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY SITS COOLER AIR WHICH  
ENHANCES INSTABILITY, AND MODELED SOUNDINGS SHOW A WELL MIXED  
ATMOSPHERE WITH CONVECTIVE SIGNATURES. THERE WILL BE INCREASED  
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND IN FACT THE STORM PREDICTION  
CENTER HAS PUT THE AREA UNDER A MARGINAL THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS  
WHICH IS QUITE UNIQUE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WITH ANY  
THUNDERSTORMS THERE MAY BE PERIODS OF LIGHTNING, HEAVY RAIN, AND  
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. -27  
 
   
LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY
 
ANOTHER MODERATE TO  
STRONG ATMOSPHERIC RIVER TAKES AIM AT THE REGION THURSDAY INTO  
FRIDAY, BRINGING ADDITIONAL RAIN ON TOP OF ELEVATED RIVERS AND  
SATURATED SOILS. INITIALLY, HEAVY RAIN RATES RAISE THE RISK FOR  
URBAN OR SMALL CREEK AND STREAM FLOODING ON THURSDAY, WHILE THE  
RISK FOR RIVER FLOODING INCREASES LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS  
THE ABUNDANT RUNOFF MAKES ITS WAY DOWNSTREAM. AS IS TYPICAL WITH  
ARS, THE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO BE OVER THE  
COASTAL TERRAIN AND ACROSS THE CASCADES, AND THE WARM DYNAMICS  
WILL ALSO FAVOR INCREASING SNOW LEVELS DURING THE HEAVIEST  
PRECIPITATION. RAINFALL FORECASTS HAVE TENDED TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY  
BETWEEN FORECAST UPDATES, BUT GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT  
THAT THE AR WILL IMPINGE ON THE NORTHERN OR COAST BEFORE  
TRACKING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN OR COAST BY THURSDAY  
NIGHT. MOST RECENT GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING THAT THE SYSTEM WILL  
LINGER OVER THE REGION A BIT LONGER WHICH WILL INCREASE RAINFALL  
TOTALS WITHIN THE CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES AND THE SOUTHERN  
VALLEY. NOW THAT'S NOT TO SAY SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON WON'T SEE  
RAIN. CURRENT FORECASTS ARE STILL FORECASTING AMPLE RAIN WITH  
AROUND 1.5 INCH IN THE WILLAPA HILLS AND THE LOWLANDS OF  
SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON. THE HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS ARE CURRENTLY  
FOCUSED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH  
PRECIPITATION TOTALS HIGHEST WITHIN LANE COUNTY, AND THE  
CASCADES OF LINN AND LANE COUNTIES. 24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS ON  
THURSDAY FOR 2 INCHES OF RAIN OR MORE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY  
UNCHANGED. THERE IS A 30-45% CHANCE OF 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN  
THE INTERIOR LOWLANDS NORTH OF SALEM, NEAR 60% CHANCE FROM  
CORVALLIS SOUTH, AND AROUND 60% ALONG THE COAST.  
 
THIS AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION OVER ONLY 24 HOURS WOULD SUPPORT  
RIVER FLOODING AS SATURATED SOILS WILL ALLOW MOST OF THE RAIN TO  
MAKE ITS WAY INTO AREA RIVERS AS RUNOFF. CHANCES FOR MINOR TO  
MODERATE RIVER FLOODING CONTINUE TO INCREASE, WITH THE HIGHEST  
CONFIDENCE IN FLOODING FOR RIVERS DRAINING THE CENTRAL OR COAST  
RANGE, BOTH TOWARD THE COAST AND INTO THE WILLAMETTE RIVER.  
THOSE WHO LIVE NEAR AREAS PRONE TO RIVER FLOODING SHOULD KEEP A  
CLOSE EYE ON THE FORECAST MOVING FORWARD, AND ADDITIONAL  
INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN THE HYDROLOGY DISCUSSION BELOW.  
 
THE THOUGHTS OF SNOW IN THE CASCADES HAS BEEN ON PEOPLE'S MINDS  
SO LET'S DIVE INTO THAT A BIT FURTHER. THE CHALLENGE WITH  
RECEIVING SNOW IN THIS KIND OF SET UP IS THE SHEAR STRUCTURE OF  
AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER. BY DEFINITION, THESE EVENTS TYPICALLY ARE  
ASSOCIATED WITH WARM AIR WITH THE COOLER AIR TO THE NORTH. THE  
WARM AIR IS WHAT HARNESSES MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION. THEREFORE  
WE ARE ENTERING INTO A PERIOD OF TIME WHERE WE HAVE BEEN WARM,  
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM, AND THUS GETTING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL  
WILL BE A CHALLENGE. NOT SAYING IT'S NOT IMPOSSIBLE, BUT THE  
PROBABILITY OF 6" OF SNOW OR MORE FOR THE DURATION OF THE EVENT  
(THURSDAY AND FRIDAY) IS AROUND 30% FOR THE FOOTHILLS, AND  
AROUND 70% NEAR THE PASSES. BUMPING UP AMOUNT'S TO 12" OR MORE,  
THOSE PROBABILITIES DROP SIGNIFICANTLY WITH AROUND A 20% CHANCE  
WITHIN THE PASSES. SOMETHING TO REMEMBER ABOUT MODELS AND SNOW  
IS THAT IT IS ACCOUNTING FOR ALL OF THAT PRECIPITATION TO FALL  
AS ACCUMULATING SNOW AND WITH THIS TYPE OF EVENT, WE WILL  
STRUGGLE TO SEE THAT COME TO FRUITION. GIVEN THE LEVEL OF  
UNCERTAINTY THOUGH, IF PLANNING TO TRAVEL ACROSS THE PASSES  
THIS WEEKEND YOU SHOULD PREPARE FOR SNOW IN THE FORECAST.  
 
THE VERITABLE PARADE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS DOES NOT LOOK TO LET UP  
THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. WHILE CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST  
DETAILS IS LOW AT THIS LEAD TIME, THE ACTIVE PATTERN AND  
PERSISTENT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL MOST LIKELY CONTINUE.  
-27/36  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
RADAR HAS SHOWN FAIRLY PERSISTENT SHOWERS THIS  
MORNING OVER THE REGION WITH A MIX OF VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS AT  
INLAND TERMINALS. HEADED INTO TUESDAY MORNING THE ARRIVAL OF  
WEAK UPPER-LEVEL FORCING WILL USHER IN A PERIOD OF INCREASED  
SHOWERS AND HIGHER CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS  
UNTIL 17Z BEFORE IT DEPARTS AND SHOWERS GENERALLY DECREASE INTO  
THE AFTERNOON. OUR NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL INCREASE RAINFALL  
ACROSS THE REGION AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY MOVING FROM NORTH TO  
SOUTH. NOW THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM IS MORE ROBUST THAN THE RAIN  
SHOWERS WE WILL SEE IN THE MORNING. THERE ARE A FEW CONCERNS  
WITH THIS SYSTEM THAT NEED TO BE ADDRESSED. THE FIRST IS THE  
FACT THAT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE VERY CONVECTIVE. THERE IS  
AROUND A 15-20% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COAST, COAST  
RANGE AND SOME OF THE INTERIOR TERMINALS. THESE CHANCES  
GENERALLY INCREASE AFTER 00Z WED AND PERSIST THROUGH THE  
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.  
 
THE SECOND COMPONENT IS WIND. WIND IS BECOMING MORE AND MORE OF  
A CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AROUND 00Z WEDNESDAY, ALONG  
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL  
BEGIN TO RAMP UP NOT ONLY AT THE SURFACE BUT ALOFT. ALONG THE  
COAST, FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 55 KT ARE LIKELY AND GUSTS UP TO 39  
KT OVER THE COAST RANGE. THE DRIVING FORCE IS A LOW LEVEL JET  
WHICH SITS AT AROUND 5000 FT MSL. WILL NOTE THAT THE WIND WILL  
BE SHORT LIVED AS IT IS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL  
PASSAGE. THE END TIME OF THE WIND IS GOING TO BE MORE OF A  
CHALLENGE AS WELL DUE TO POTENTIAL OUTFLOWS FROM AREA  
THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF WIND ALOFT AND BREEZY WINDS  
AT THE SURFACE, LLWS HAS BEEN PUT INTO MANY TAFS.  
 
KPDX AND APPROACHES...CURRENTLY BOUNCING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR  
WITH PASSING SHOWERS. GENERALLY WILL BE VFR THROUGH MOST OF THE  
FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL AROUND 00-06Z WEDNESDAY WHEN THE  
STRENGTHENING FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECTING SOUTHWESTERLY  
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. THERE IS AROUND A 10% CHANCE OF  
GUSTS GREATER THAN 45 KT AND THEREFORE MAY IMPACT E/W APPROACHES  
WHERE LLWS MAY BE EXPERIENCED. HEAVY RAIN WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY  
ESPECIALLY WITH THESE TYPES OF WIND SPEEDS. THERE IS AROUND A  
10-15% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 00Z-10Z WEDNESDAY.  
-27  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
CURRENTLY OBSERVING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS AROUND  
10-13 FT AT 12 SECONDS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINTAINED  
UNTIL THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MOVES OVER THE WATERS IN THE LATE  
AFTERNOON. AT THAT POINT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE  
CONSIDERABLY DUE TO A DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW. WILL QUICKLY SEE  
WINDS RAMP UP TO GALE FORCE SPEEDS OVER ALL OF THE WATERS  
INCLUDING THE COLUMBIA RIVER BAR. THE PROBABILITY OF MAXIMUM  
WIND GUSTS MEETING STORM FORCE SPEEDS (GUSTS GREATER THAN 48 KT)  
IS AROUND 40-50% WITHIN THE INNER WATERS WITH A COASTAL JET THAT  
FORMS, AND AROUND 25% IN THE OUTER WATERS. FOR PORTIONS OF THE  
COAST LIKE MOORAGES THAT ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS  
THERE WILL BE A TREND TOWARDS HIGHER END GALE FORCE WIND SPEEDS.  
 
DURING THIS PERIOD OF TIME SEAS WILL RAMP UP DUE TO A STRONG  
WESTERLY SWELL AND ENHANCED WIND WAVE. OVERNIGHT WILL SEE  
WIDESPREAD 16-18 FT SEAS AT 10-11 SECONDS. THERE WILL BE POCKETS  
OF SEAS UP TO 20 FT IN THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF CAPE  
FOWLWEATHER. SOME MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF OF THESE HEIGHTS, BUT  
GIVEN THE OVERALL PATTERN THEY TEND TO UNDERDO THESE TYPES OF  
SCENARIOS.  
 
BEHIND THIS WEATHER SYSTEM SEAS WILL FALL TO AROUND 12-15 FT AT  
11 SECONDS. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER RIVER THAT COMES IN ON  
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY BUT AT THIS POINT IT REMAINS MORE OF A RAIN  
IMPACT VS A WIND AND SEAS THREAT. -27  
 

 
   
HYDROLOGY
 
POTENTIAL FOR RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHEST ON THURSDAY  
AND FRIDAY DUE TO THE ABUNDANT RAINFALL FROM AN ATMOSPHERIC  
RIVER. HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURS FOR A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD  
OF TIME FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ALREADY  
SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVERS COMBINED WITH THE INCOMING WELL  
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN AN ELEVATED RISK FOR  
FLOODING LATE THIS WEEK. AS IS TYPICAL IN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS,  
THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO BE OVER AREAS OF  
TERRAIN INCLUDING THE COAST RANGE AND CASCADES, WHILE LESSER  
TOTALS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND VALLEYS. NONETHELESS,  
RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO BE MEASURED IN INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE  
REGION. ONE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE LAST SERIES OF ARS AND THE  
ONE ARRIVING ON THURSDAY IS THE PLACEMENT. THE LATE WEEK SYSTEM  
FAVORS A MORE SOUTHERLY ROUTE AND THUS AREAS THAT PREVIOUSLY  
MISSED THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL SEE THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATIONS THIS  
TIME AROUND. DUE TO THE LACK OF PREVIOUS RAIN BASINS MAY BE  
MORE CAPABLE OF HOLDING THE INCOMING PRECIPITATION WITHOUT  
EXPERIENCING FLOODING. OTHER AREAS TO THE NORTH WITHIN THE COAST  
RANGE IN LINCOLN, TILLAMOOK, BENTON, POLK, YAMHILL, AND  
WASHINGTON COUNTIES MAY SEE MORE OVERLAP BETWEEN RECENTLY  
OBSERVED HEAVY RAINFALL AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THIS  
UPCOMING SYSTEM. SIMILARLY, RIVER BASINS COVERING THE CENTRAL OR  
CASCADES IN LANE AND LINN COUNTIES HAVE A SLIGHTLY MORE  
OPTIMISTIC OUTLOOK THAN NORTH INTO MARION AND CLACKAMAS  
COUNTIES, BUT THAT DOES NOT MEAN FLOODING CANNOT HAPPEN IN ALL  
OF THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS. LUCKILY, WHERE RAINFALL HAS SO FAR  
BEEN THE HEAVIEST ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND FAR  
NORTHWESTERN OREGON MAY SEE THE LOWEST TOTALS FROM THIS SYSTEM,  
ALTHOUGH EVEN 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER 24 HOURS MAY BE ENOUGH TO  
CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING IN THESE VERY SATURATED AREAS.  
 
AT THIS POINT, THE RIVERS WITH THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF  
REACHING FLOOD STAGE ARE THOSE WHICH DRAIN THE CENTRAL OREGON  
COAST RANGE, INCLUDING THE WILSON, TRASK, SILETZ, AND SIUSLAW  
DRAINING TOWARD THE COAST, AND THE MARYS, LUCKIAMUTE, YAMHILL,  
AND TUALATIN DRAINING TOWARD THE WILLAMETTE. THE CHANCES FOR  
THESE RIVERS TO REACH AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD STAGE ARE 25-55% AT  
THIS TIME. RIVERS DRAINING THE CASCADES, INCLUDING THE MOHAWK,  
SANTIAM, PUDDING, MOLALLA, CLACKAMAS, AND SANDY, HAVE SLIGHTLY  
LOWER BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT CHANCES OF 15-45%. THESE RIVERS WILL  
BEGIN TO RISE LATER ON THURSDAY AS HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES, NOT  
CRESTING UNTIL FRIDAY IN MOST CASES. THE WILLAMETTE RIVER MAIN  
STEM ITSELF ALSO HAS A 5-10% CHANCE OF REACHING FLOOD STAGE  
ABOVE WILLAMETTE FALLS, AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES IN TIDALLY-  
INFLUENCED PORTIONS DOWNSTREAM OF OREGON CITY, HOWEVER RUNOFF  
WILL TAKE LONGER TO REACH THE WILLAMETTE AND FLOODING WOULD BE  
DELAYED LATER THAN IN ITS TRIBUTARIES. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN  
ISSUES ACROSS ALL OF NORTHWESTERN OREGON AND SOUTHWESTERN  
WASHINGTON FROM 4 AM THURSDAY THROUGH 4 AM SATURDAY TO HIGHLIGHT  
THESE RISKS.  
 
DURING THE TIME OF HEAVIEST RAIN ON THURSDAY WE WILL ALSO SEE  
SOME OF OUR HIGHEST TIDES OF THE WEEK. DUE TO THE RIVERS NEAR  
THE COAST FORECAST TO SIT BELOW THE 80TH PERCENTILE CFS, THERE  
IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF TIDAL OVERFLOW FLOODING. WILL CONTINUE  
TO MONITOR THOUGH AS PRECIPITATION TOTALS BECOME MORE WELL  
RESOLVED.  
 
THESE RIVER FORECASTS REMAIN VERY SENSITIVE TO RAINFALL  
FORECASTS, AND INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD EXPECT CHANGES AS THE  
EVENT NEARS. THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS ACROSS THE REGION CAN BE  
FOUND AT WWW.WATER.NOAA.GOV/WFO/PQR.-27/36  
 

 
   
PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM PST  
WEDNESDAY FOR ORZ101>103.  
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM PST WEDNESDAY  
FOR ORZ104>107.  
WA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM PST  
WEDNESDAY FOR WAZ201.  
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM PST WEDNESDAY  
FOR WAZ202-203.  
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM PST  
WEDNESDAY FOR WAZ211.  
PZ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR  
PZZ210-251>253-271>273.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PZZ210-  
251>253-271>273.  
GALE WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM PST WEDNESDAY  
FOR PZZ210-251>253-271>273.  

 
 

 
 
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