963
FNUS55 KPSR 172031
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
131 PM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
DISCUSSION
WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS
WESTERN DISTRICTS WITH GUSTS 30-40 MPH COMMON. A FEW SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY, HOWEVER
INSTANCES OF WETTING RAINFALL WILL BE ISOLATED BEFORE CLEARING
THURSDAY WITH WEAKENING WINDS. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE
WIDELY BETWEEN 25-60% WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, THEN TIGHTEN TO 25-45%
THURSDAY. THIS WILL FOLLOW GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY
OF 60-100%.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-180845-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
131 PM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-52.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................68-93 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND BECOMING 45 TO 55 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................57-66.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-44 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 55 TO 65 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......4900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 21 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................36-46.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................55-75 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................16 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-65.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......6500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 35-46. HIGHS
58-66. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 35-50. HIGHS 65-71. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43-54. HIGHS 72-78. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-57. HIGHS 77-83.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 77-83.
AZZ131-CAZ231-180845-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
131 PM MST TUE FEB 17 2026 /1231 PM PST TUE FEB 17 2026/
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-49.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................68-80 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 60 TO 70 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................63-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-33 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 65 TO 75 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........WEST 27 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................37-44.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................67-85 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................62-67.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................32-36 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 35-47. HIGHS 62-67. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 35-50. HIGHS 66-71. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42-52. HIGHS 72-77. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43-56. HIGHS 77-82.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-56. HIGHS 78-83.
AZZ133-180845-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
131 PM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................31-46.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................82-100 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................44-58.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................51-73 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 45 TO 55 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............5 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................31-41.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................74-100 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING WEST 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............5 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................43-56.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................35-53 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................18 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 22-43. HIGHS 42-58. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 22-47. HIGHS 52-66. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32-51. HIGHS 58-72. EAST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37-53. HIGHS 63-78.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 39-54. HIGHS 64-77.
CAZ232-180845-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
1231 PM PST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-53.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................61-80 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 55 TO 65 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 65 TO 75 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................57-67.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-37 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 65 TO 75 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................39-47.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................60-82 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................57-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................32-46 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38-49. HIGHS 58-68. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38-52. HIGHS 61-70. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 45-55. HIGHS 68-76. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 47-59. HIGHS 73-81.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 51-59. HIGHS 73-82.
CAZ230-180845-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
1231 PM PST TUE FEB 17 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................34-47.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................71-100 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 60 TO 70 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 70 TO 80 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
50 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................43-59.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-51 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 65 TO 75 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................29-38.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................64-89 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................44-59.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................36-57 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 29-40. HIGHS 46-59. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30-46. HIGHS 50-62. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 36-50. HIGHS 57-69. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40-53. HIGHS 62-75.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 62-75.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 25TH THROUGH FRIDAY
FEBRUARY 27TH: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.
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