736
FNUS55 KPSR 162139
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
239 PM MST FRI OCT 16 2026
DISCUSSION
STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
RIDGE TOPS AND WIND PRONE AREAS OF EASTERN DISTRICTS EARLY
SATURDAY BEFORE WEAKENING BY SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE, WINDS WILL BE
SOMEWHAT GUSTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY ALSO
MOVE INTO EASTERN DISTRICTS SATURDAY EVENING, HOWEVER THE CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAINFALL IS ONLY 10%. MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
FALL INTO A 20-30% RANGE SATURDAY, THEN INCREASE CLOSER TO A
30-50% RANGE SUNDAY. THIS WILL FOLLOW GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT
RECOVERY.
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-170945-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
239 PM MST FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-72.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-35 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-81.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING
10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......3900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......EAST 14 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
SATURDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-71.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................47-62 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................26 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-83.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................35-45 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................19 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......4200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-72. HIGHS 78-85. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-70. HIGHS 78-85. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 74-82. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54-64. HIGHS 69-77.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-64. HIGHS 68-75.
AZZ131-CAZ231-170945-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
239 PM MST FRI OCT 16 2026 /239 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026/
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................66-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-39 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................78-83.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-21 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................5 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........3400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........EAST 15 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
SATURDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-67.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................49-60 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................25 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-85.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................30-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTHEAST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-68. HIGHS 82-87. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-68. HIGHS 82-87. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-66. HIGHS 77-82. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-63. HIGHS 73-78.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-60. HIGHS 73-78.
AZZ133-170945-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
239 PM MST FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-61.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................28-42 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-75.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-29 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................5 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................49-62.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................49-68 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................24 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............6 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS .
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................62-76.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................38-54 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................21 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............10 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51-64. HIGHS 65-79. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-64. HIGHS 65-79. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-64. HIGHS 63-77. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 46-62. HIGHS 58-71.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 42-57. HIGHS
57-70.
CAZ232-170945-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
239 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................65-72.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................27-39 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................74-83.
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-22 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................41-56 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................16 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-84.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-37 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING
BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-71. HIGHS 77-88. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-68. HIGHS 76-86. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
55-65. HIGHS 70-80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-62. HIGHS 67-77.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 54-62. HIGHS 68-78.
CAZ230-170945-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
239 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................53-65.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-45 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................64-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-28 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................52-62.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................46-56 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................65-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................32-41 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-63. HIGHS 67-80. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-62. HIGHS 63-78. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 45-58.
HIGHS 57-71. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 44-55.
HIGHS 55-69.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-55. HIGHS 57-70.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
SATURDAY OCTOBER 24TH THROUGH MONDAY
OCTOBER 26TH: NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.
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