253  
FXUS65 KPUB 030546  
AFDPUB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
1046 PM MST SUN MAR 2 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- DRY FOR MOST TONIGHT, WITH SNOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE  
MOUNTAINS.  
 
- WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOMORROW  
ACROSS MOST OF THE PLAINS.  
 
- SNOW EXPANDS ACROSS MOST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND VALLEYS  
THROUGH MONDAY.  
 
- A POTENT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND  
TUESDAY. STRONG, DAMAGING WINDS AND AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW  
EXPECTED.  
 
- UNCERTAINTIES STILL PERSIST WITH THE SYSTEM, MOSTLY WITH THE  
DURATION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS AND THE LOCATION OF ANY  
POTENTIAL SNOW BANDS. THIS WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE SPEED OF  
THE PASSING SYSTEM.  
 

 
   
UPDATE
 
 
ISSUED AT 937 PM MST SUN MAR 2 2025  
 
RAN AN UPDATE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO BRING IN THE 00Z  
HIGH-RES MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THIS INCOMING STORM. TOMORROW'S RED  
FLAG WARNING LOOKS GOOD WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS  
ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH GUSTS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 NEAR 45 TO 55  
MPH POSSIBLE. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO LESS THAN  
15 PERCENT. THOSE WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING ACTIVITIES PLANNED  
SHOULD POSTPONE THEM UNTIL ANOTHER DAY.  
 
THE UPPER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN  
MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TWO WAVES OF ENERGY WILL  
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA, THE FIRST ON MONDAY, WITH BANDS OF HIGH  
ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS, INITIALLY OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE,  
THEN SPREADING EAST INTO THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY  
INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS ON MONDAY LATE AFTERNOON. AS THE UPPER  
SYSTEM DEEPENS ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO MONDAY EVENING, A STRONG  
COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE PALMER DIVIDE, AND  
EVENTUALLY THE REST OF THE PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  
EXPECT A SHARP SNOW CUTOFF ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY, WITH THE  
HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ON THE PALMER DIVIDE, NORTH OF WOODMAN  
ROAD. SOUTHERN PARTS OF EL PASO COUNTY MAY NOT SEE MUCH AT ALL  
AFTER AN INITIAL BAND MOVES THROUGH, WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPING  
NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. ADJUSTED THE START TIME OF THE  
HIGH WIND WATCH TO 09Z TUESDAY MORNING, AS THE GRADIENT RAPIDLY  
STRENGTHENS AS THE UPPER LOW INTENSIFIES ON THE PLAINS. HIGH-RES  
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS EXTREMELY HIGH WINDS ON THE PLAINS TUESDAY  
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISE TO SEE A FEW  
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH, FROM EL PASO COUNTY, SOUTHEAST ACROSS  
BACA COUNTY. BLOWING SNOW IS LIKELY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 50S, AND  
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST SOUTH. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN TRICKY, AND  
DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE WINTER STORM WATCHES FOR  
CROWLEY AND KIOWA COUNTIES AT THIS TIME. MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR  
THESE STRONG WINDS TOMORROW (MONDAY)! MOZLEY  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 207 PM MST SUN MAR 2 2025  
 
TONIGHT: SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BRING RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER TO MUCH OF  
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO, WITH SNOW SHOWERS STARTING  
TO INCREASE OUT WEST. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL START TO SURGE IN  
RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING WAVE. WHILE GREATER SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL  
REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA TONIGHT, OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL START TO  
RISE. THIS UPTICK IN FORCING, ALONG WITH MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE WAVE,  
WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP  
ALONG THE MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING, BUT  
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS, WHERE WIND ORIENTATION WILL  
FAVOR BETTER OROGRAPHICS. ELSEWHERE THOUGH, DRY CONDITIONS WILL  
PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. OTHERWISE, RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS  
AROUND 5-10 MPH AND OCCASIONAL POCKETS OF MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS  
ARE ANTICIPATED FOR OVERNIGHT. ALONG WITH THAT, PATCHY FOG MAY  
MATERIALIZE ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS GIVEN LIGHT EASTERLY  
UPSLOPING WINDS, RELATIVELY CLEAR SKIES, AND SATURATING LOW LEVELS.  
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT IS EXPECTED GIVEN LIGHTER  
WINDS AND ONLY PARTIAL CLOUD COVER. GIVEN THIS, THE PLAINS WILL FALL  
INTO THE 30S TO LOW 40S, THE VALLEYS WILL DROP INTO THE 20S, AND THE  
MOUNTAINS WILL COOL INTO THE MID 10S TO 20S.  
 
TOMORROW: FOR MONDAY, ACTIVE WEATHER MAKES A RETURN TO SOUTH CENTRAL  
AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. THE AFOREMENTIONED WAVE WILL NOW BE  
PUSHING OVER THE REGION, BRINGING AN INCREASE IN SYNOPTIC FORCING  
AND SUPPORT. ALONG WITH THAT, STRONG OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL PERSIST  
OVER THE MOUNTAINS. WITH THE RISE IN FORCING, AND MOISTURE REMAINING  
IN PLACE, SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MOUNTAINS  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY, AND WILL START TO SPREAD ACROSS THE VALLEYS  
GIVEN THE INCREASED SUPPORT. SNOW TOTALS THROUGH THE DAY WILL RANGE  
BETWEEN 1-5 INCHES, WITH THE HEAVIEST ALONG THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS  
GIVEN CONTINUED FAVORED WIND ORIENTATION. THE PLAINS ON THE OTHER  
HAND WILL REMAIN DRY, AS A DRIER POCKET OF AIR SWINGS AROUND THE  
SOUTHERN FRINGES OF THE WAVE AND PUSHES OVER THE PLAINS. WITH THAT  
SAID, WHILE THE PLAINS WILL STAY DRY, WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE A CONCERN. THE DRIER POCKET OF AIR WILL  
MEAN LESS OVERALL CLOUD COVER OVER THIS LOCALIZED AREA, WHICH WILL  
ALLOW FOR GREATER DIURNAL MIXING TO BECOME ESTABLISHED. WITH BETTER  
MIXING IN PLACE, STRONGER WINDS AND DRIER AIR ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO  
REACH THE SURFACE, WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30-50  
MPH, AND HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 10-13% GIVEN THE DRIER  
AIR. BEYOND ALL OF THAT, MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN  
COLORADO WILL BE GUSTY DURING THE DAY, WITH WIDESPREAD 20-40 MPH  
WIND GUSTS, AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND  
VALLEYS. LOOKING AT TEMPERATURES, ANOTHER WARM AND ABOVE SEASONAL  
DAYS IS ANTICIPATE FOR THE PLAINS, WITH COOLER AND MORE SEASONAL  
VALUES. GIVEN DOWNSLOPING WINDS AND LESS CLOUD COVER, THE PLAINS  
WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S, WHILE INCREASED CLOUD  
COVER WILL KEEP THE VALLEYS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 40S AND THE  
MOUNTAINS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 207 PM MST SUN MAR 2 2025  
 
MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY... A POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS STILL PROGGED  
TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, BRINGING HIGH  
IMPACTS IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY BLOWING SNOW.  
SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITHIN THE DATA CONCERNING THE  
EXACT PATH AND SPEED OF THE INCOMING LOW PRESSURE, PARTICULARLY  
WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND IMPACTS OVER THE PLAINS.  
 
MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT, WITH THE CONSENSUS HAVING THE CLOSED  
UPPER LOW PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH  
TUESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL BEGIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS EARLIER IN THE  
DAY, SPREADING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND INTO THE PIKES PEAK  
REGION PRIOR TO THE START OF MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN, SNOW TOTALS WILL BE LARGELY INFLUENCED BY  
THE SYNOPTIC LIFT PRESENT AS THE LOW PASSES OVERHEAD, GIVING  
IMPACTFUL ACCUMULATIONS BUT NOT EXTREME AMOUNTS. CURRENT FORECAST  
SHOWS THE EASTERN SAN JUANS, SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS, AND THE  
PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS PICKING UP 4-8 INCHES OR SO BY THE  
END OF TUESDAY, THOUGH WINDS WILL STILL BE AN ISSUE. GUSTS OVER THE  
SAN JUANS AND SANGRES WILL BE AROUND 40 MPH, WITH STRONGER GUSTS  
CLOSER TO 60 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. AS SUCH, BLOWING SNOW  
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH LOW VISIBILITY AND HIGH IMPACTS TO TRAVEL DUE  
TO DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  
 
HIGHER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS, INCLUDING PARTS  
OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN MORE NORTHERLY  
AS THE LOW MOVES OVER AND EAST OF US, WITH MOST OF OUR IMPACTS  
COMING FROM WRAPAROUND WINDS AND MOISTURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE  
SYSTEM. WINDS STEADILY INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY, HITTING  
SUSTAINED 30-40 KNOTS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. AT THEIR PEAKS, GUSTS  
COULD EASILY EXCEED 60 MPH OR HIGHER. THESE STRONGEST WINDS WILL  
LAST THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY, WEAKENING ONCE EVENING SETS IN.  
 
AS FOR SNOW AMOUNTS, UPSLOPING ONTO THE PALMER DIVIDE WILL CAUSE  
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TO FIRST HIT TELLER AND NORTHERN EL PASO  
COUNTIES STARTING OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT, WITH PRECIPITATION  
SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST THROUGHOUT TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL  
OCCUR ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION, WHERE UPSLOPING AND LIFT WILL BE  
THE STRONGEST ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW. CURRENT FORECAST PLACES 5-  
10 INCHES ACROSS TELLER AND NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTIES, WITH HIGHEST  
AMOUNTS TIED TO THE TERRAIN. AS NORTH WINDS BLAST THROUGH,  
DOWNSLOPING WILL CAUSE A SHARP FALLOFF IN ACCUMULATIONS HEADING  
SOUTH, WITH COLORADO SPRINGS PROPER CURRENTLY POISED TO RECEIVE 1-3  
INCHES. LIGHTER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR MORE SOUTH PORTIONS OF  
EL PASO COUNTY. ADDITIONALLY, PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTHERN PLAINS  
MAY ALSO RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES OR SO DUE TO UPSLOPING INTO THE  
RATON MESA AREA. UNCERTAINTIES AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE SNOW  
FORECAST WILL BE DISCUSSED BELOW.  
 
POTENTIAL IMPACTS...  
 
THE SYSTEM WILL BRING WITH IT AN ARRAY OF IMPACTS ACROSS THE AREA.  
AS STATED BEFORE, MOUNTAIN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CAUSE  
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WHILE HIGHER  
IMPACTS ARE FELT OVER THE PLAINS. AS OF NOW, TELLER AND NORTHERN EL  
PASO COUNTIES APPEAR TO GET THE WORST OF IT. DAMAGING WINDS COULD  
DOWN POWER LINES AND TREE BRANCHES, DAMAGE STRUCTURES, AND PROVE  
HAZARDOUS TO LIGHTWEIGHT OR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. WET, HEAVY AND  
WIND-DRIVEN SNOW CAN CAUSE SLICK ROADS AND NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITY,  
RESULTING IN VERY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. AVOIDING TRAVEL  
DURING THESE CONDITIONS IS ADVISED, AS WELL AS EXERCISING EXTREME  
CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE  
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, AND ALONG OUR  
EASTERN BORDER AS WELL, PARTICULARLY IF ANY BANDING SNOW HAPPENS TO  
FORM. IF THIS OCCURS, VISIBILITY AND HEAVY SNOW COULD EXIST IN VERY  
NARROW CORRIDORS, AND DRIVING CONDITIONS COULD WORSEN RAPIDLY OVER  
SMALL AREAS. FINALLY, THOUGH LOCATIONS OVER THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR  
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO GET MUCH, IF ANY, SNOW DUE TO WARM  
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AFTERNOON (HIGHS IN THE 40S-50S), WIND GUSTS IN  
EXCESS OF 55-60 MPH WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MOST OF TUESDAY,  
WHICH CAN STILL RESULT IN TRAVEL IMPACTS.  
 
UNCERTAINTIES...  
 
GIVEN THE DYNAMIC NATURE OF THE SYSTEM, AS WELL AS MODEL DIFFERENCES  
THROUGHOUT THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS, THERE ARE STILL SOME UNCERTAINTIES  
TO NOTE WITH THE FORECAST.  
 
FIRST, THE SPEED OF THE LOW. CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS HAS THE UPPER  
LOW CLOSING OFF AND MOVING THROUGH OUR CWA BY MID-MORNING ON  
TUESDAY. MOST OF THE STRONGEST WINDS AND MOISTURE WILL HIT OUR AREA  
JUST ON THE BACK SIDE OF THAT LOW AS IT MOVES PAST. MEANING, THE  
SPEED AT WHICH THE LOW WRAPS UP AND HOW FAST IT MOVES EAST WILL  
GREATLY IMPACT OUR WINDOW OF HIGHEST IMPACTS. IF THE LOW SPEEDS UP  
MORE THAN CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS, ARE WINDOW FOR HIGHEST IMPACTS  
COULD BE A BIT SHORTER.  
 
SIMILARLY, SNOW TOTALS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE  
PIKES PEAK REGION. THE SHARP GRADIENT IN SNOWFALL, HEADING NORTH TO  
SOUTH ACROSS THE PALMER AND EL PASO COUNTY, WILL DEPEND ON HOW THE  
DRY DOWNSLOPING WINDS INTERACTS WITH THE INCOMING MOISTURE AND LIFT  
FROM THE PASSING LOW. GIVEN HOW STRONG THE WINDS ARE, DOWNSLOPING  
SHOULD BE THE DOMINANT FACTOR HERE, AND THERE IS MEDIUM-HIGH  
CONFIDENCE IN THAT GRADIENT REMAINING IN PLACE. AMOUNTS IN CROWLEY  
AND KIOWA COUNTIES WILL ALSO BE A CHALLENGE MOVING FORWARDS, AS THE  
VAST MAJORITY OF MODEL AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS A QPF MINIMUM  
THERE. THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH THROUGH THE MORNING  
FOR SNOW, HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 40S IN THOSE AREAS. HOWEVER, THE  
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS MEANS THAT ALMOST ANY AMOUNT OF SNOW WILL  
CAUSE VISIBILITY ISSUES AND TRAVEL IMPACTS.  
 
THE UNCERTAINTIES OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS ARE LARGELY INFLUENCED BY  
THE MID-LEVEL UPGLIDE/TROWAL FEATURE. MODELS SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY  
OF A NARROW BAND OF ENHANCED PRECIPITATION, BUT MOST OF THE  
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE IS PLACING THAT BAND JUST NORTH OF OUR  
FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER, IF IT SHIFTS SOUTH AT ALL IN INCOMING RUNS,  
SNOW AMOUNTS IN CROWLEY AND KIOWA COULD QUICKLY INCREASE.  
ADDITIONALLY, SOME MID-LEVEL FORCING WILL BE PRESENT FOR A FEW HOURS  
ACROSS THE EASTERN HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR, AND THOUGH TEMPERATURES OUT  
THERE WILL BE RATHER WARM AT THE SURFACE, ENOUGH FORCING AND A  
STRONG ENOUGH BAND OF PRECIPITATION COULD TIP THE SCALES BETWEEN  
BRIEFLY HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND HEAVY BLOWING SNOW. EVEN IF AMOUNTS  
WOULDN'T BE THAT MUCH IN THIS SCENARIO, VISIBILITY AND TRAVEL  
IMPACTS WOULD, ONCE AGAIN, BE A PROMINENT ISSUE.  
 
TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS, PARTICULARLY SURROUNDING  
THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE, AS WELL AS THE UNCERTAINTIES PRESENT IN  
THE MODEL DATA, HAVE MADE THE FOLLOWING ALTERATIONS TO OUR  
HIGHLIGHTS:  
 
- WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAWATCH RANGE  
STARTING MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
- A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PEAKS OF THE MOSQUITO  
RANGE STARTING LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
- A WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TELLER AND NORTHERN EL  
PASO COUNTIES, STARTING MON EVENING.  
 
- OUR HIGH WIND WATCH FOR TUESDAY HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE  
CROWLEY AND KIOWA COUNTIES, WITH THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER STORM  
WATCH FOR THOSE COUNTIES REMAINING IN PLACE.  
 
WITH THIS DYNAMICALLY EVOLVING SYSTEM, KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR FREQUENT  
FORECAST UPDATES TO INCLUDE THE LATEST DATA AND THINKING. CONFIDENCE  
IN HIGHER IMPACTS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY  
BUT STEADILY INCREASE!  
 
TUESDAY NIGHT ONWARDS...  
 
ONCE THE LOW HAS PASSED FULLY OUT OF OUR AREA, MODELS CONTINUE TO  
SHOW A BRIEF UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN, GIVING US WARMER AND GENERALLY  
DRIER CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THURSDAY AND  
ONWARDS, A NEW LOW CAN BE SEEN IN THE LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE, MOVING  
ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL COLORADO THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.  
DETAILS STILL NEED TO BE RESOLVED ON WHETHER THIS WILL COME AS A  
CLOSED LOW OR A MORE OPEN WAVE, AS WELL AS THE SPEED AND EXACT PATH  
OF THE SYSTEM. COOLER AND MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO  
RETURN TO THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, AND CARRY ON INTO  
THE WEEKEND, AFTER WHICH MODELS SUGGEST AT ANOTHER POSSIBLE WARMUP.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1039 PM MST SUN MAR 2 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF SITES THE NEXT 24 HRS, THOUGH VFR CIGS  
WILL BE LOWERING TOWARD MVFR LEVELS AT KCOS AND KPUB AT THE END  
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD (04Z ONWARD MON EVENING). AT KCOS AND  
KPUB, DRAINAGE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE QUICKLY LATE MORNING  
MON AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SPINS UP ON THE PLAINS, WITH SW WINDS  
GUSTING TO 25-30 KTS AT BOTH SITES AFTER 18-19Z. WINDS THEN SHIFT  
TO THE NW AND INCREASE AFTER 01Z MON EVENING, WITH LOWERING VFR  
CIGS AND VCSH AFTER 01Z AT KCOS AND AFTER 04Z AT KPUB. WORSE  
CONDITIONS, WITH STRONG WINDS AND POTENTIAL IFR DUE TO -SHSN,  
LIKELY AT KCOS JUST AFTER THE TAF VALID PERIOD, CONTINUING INTO  
TUE MORNING. AT KALS, SLY WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL TURN SW AND  
INCREASE QUICKLY MON MORNING, WITH GUSTS 30-35 KTS BY 20Z. RISK  
OF A VCSH AS WELL AFTER 20Z AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES,  
THOUGH EXPECT MOST ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY TO BE MAINLY SPRINKLES  
AND VIRGA.  
 

 
   
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON FOR COZ058.  
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 PM MONDAY TO 11 AM MST TUESDAY  
FOR COZ060.  
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM MST TUESDAY  
FOR COZ068.  
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR  
COZ081-082-084.  
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST MONDAY FOR COZ227>237.  
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON FOR COZ085>089-093>099.  
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON FOR COZ089-095-096.  
 

 
 

 
 
UPDATE...MOZLEY  
SHORT TERM...SIMCOE  
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO  
AVIATION...PETERSEN  
 
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