012  
FNUS75 KPUB 102048  
FWSPUB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MORRISON CREEK...CHAFFEE OEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
248 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 MDT ON JULY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH THIS  
AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA. WEST WINDS  
OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE IN AND NEAR THE BURN AREA. IT SHOULD  
BE NOTED THAT STRONGER WINDS WERE OCCURRING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS  
AS MONARCH PASS WAS GUSTING TO 50 TO 60 MPH AT 1400 LOCAL THIS  
AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AND BECOME  
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING, AND THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY  
AFTER 2200 LOCAL.  
 
WINDS TOMORROW ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGHOUT  
THE DAY, WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
SOUTHERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(37 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER 1600.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 40 36  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76 77 77  
RH..............18 15 13  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...13 13 13  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000300 315 314  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN  
DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 23 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN NORTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0100, THEN NORTH AROUND 6  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........30 16 15 15 15 7 4 7 8 7 5 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............75 73 68 64 61 59 57 56 54 52 52 52  
RH..............12 14 19 22 27 33 40 43 50 56 54 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 22 18 18 18 13 13 13 13 13 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 11 11 11 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...13 11 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW W NW NW NW NE N N NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 13 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000266 197 27 13 13 11 9 9 9 9 9 11  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1300, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(69  
PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTHERLY IN THE MORNING THEN LIGHT  
SOUTHERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 5500 FT AGL UNTIL  
1100, THEN 11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1600, THEN 6000  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN SOUTHEAST  
UNTIL 1300, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL  
1700, THEN WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300, THEN  
GOOD UNTIL 1700, THEN FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 11 6 4 6 34 39 56 70 76 83 68  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............51 55 59 61 67 72 73 73 74 73 71 69  
RH..............56 49 45 42 32 22 20 20 18 20 24 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 13 13 13 16 16 16 16 16 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW N N N SE SE SE S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 3.0 4.5 6.5 9.5 12 12 11 10 7.0 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NW N N N SE SW SW S SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 6 6 5 5 5 7 6 9 9 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 11 14 22 27 39 46 74 56 79 56 43  
 

 
FORECASTER...HODANISH  
REQUESTED BY...RICH ATKINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517773.0/PUB  
.DELDT 07/10/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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