562
FXUS65 KPUB 072341
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
441 PM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOL, OCCASIONALLY BREEZY AND DRY THIS WEEKEND, COOLEST DAY
WILL BE SUNDAY.
- DRY AND WARMER NEXT WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE REBUILDS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY AS DEEP UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE GREAT LAKES.
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTH THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS
SATURDAY, DRIVING A COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH COLORADO IN THE
MORNING, WITH A PERIOD OF BREEZY NORTH WINDS FOLLOWING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE PALMER DIVIDE AND NEAR THE
KANSAS BORDER. FRONT WILL KNOCK 5-10 DEGF OFF OF MAX TEMPS SAT
ALONG AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS, WHILE HIGHER TERRAIN SEES ONLY
A DEGF OR TWO OF COOLING. SUPPOSE WE COULD SEE A BRIEF SNOW
SHOWER/FLURRIES OVER THE PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AROUND
FREMONT PASS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS TROUGH AND FRONT MOVE
THROUGH, BUT ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL LIKELY STAY ALONG AND
NORTH OF I-70.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 202 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
SATURDAY NIGHT - THURSDAY: FOR THE REST OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD,
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY, AND THEN
TRANSITION TO RIDGING BY MONDAY, WITH THAT FLOW PATTERN PERSISTING
THROUGH MIDWEEK. CONFIDENCE IN THIS PATTERN EVOLUTION IS FAIRLY HIGH
(80%) GIVEN STRONG AND CONTINUED AGREEMENT BETWEEN MODEL GUIDANCE.
WITH THE LACK OF MAJOR FORCING STILL, AND SUBSIDENCE INCREASING INTO
NEXT WEEK, DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION INTO MUCH
OF NEXT WEEK. WITH THAT SAID, THERE MAY BE SOME WEAK WAVES/VORT
MAXES THAT DRIFT OVER THE AREA DURING THIS TIMEFRAME, BUT ANY
INFLUENCE FROM THESE IS EXPECTED TO MINIMUM, WITH BRIEF UPTICKS IN
CLOUD COVER AT MOST. BEYOND ALL OF THAT, WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
RELATIVELY LIGHT, WITH POCKETS OF MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS PERIOD. LOOKING AT TEMPERATURES, SUNDAY IS ANTICIPATED
TO BE THE COOLEST DAY THANKS TO AN ADDITIONAL COLD FRONT PASSAGE
EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS IS EXPECTED TO DROP TEMPERATURES TO BELOW
SEASONAL VALUE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
COLORADO. FOR MONDAY ONWARD, A WARMUP IS IN STORE, WITH TEMPERATURES
RETURNING TO ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 441 PM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT COS, PUB AND ALS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS, WITH CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT BEHIND PASSING UPPER LEVEL
WAVE. THIS WAVE WILL SEND A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
OVERNIGHT, WITH BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10-20KTS WINDS EXPECTED
AT COS BETWEEN 10Z-12Z SATURDAY. WINDS BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST
AT COS AND PUB THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GENERALLY
LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT ALS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...PETERSEN
LONG TERM...SIMCOE
AVIATION...MW
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