323
FXUS65 KPUB 061123
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
423 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW CONTINUES IN CENTRAL MTNS TODAY; HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS
THIS MORNING, PRECIP DECREASING THIS EVENING.
- LOCALLY STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG MTNS/PLAINS INTERFACE DURING THE
MIDMORNING HOURS TODAY. BECOMING GENERALLY "WINDY" ALL AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON.
- WARMEST TODAY, A BIT COOLER TOMORROW.
- WARMING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN LEVELING OFF; GENERALLY
DRY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 208 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
IT'S SNOWIN' AND BLOWIN' IN THE CENTRAL MTNS PER WEB CAMS, SFC OBS
AND COMPOSITE RADAR IMGY. ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE THE CENTRAL MTN REGION,
VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS WAS STREAKING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA. TEMPS OVER THE PLAINS WHERE IN THE 20S WITH SOME 30S
IN DOWNSLOPE AREAS ALONG THE MTNS/PLAINS INTERFACE. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WAS THE SNOW PACKED AREAS OF THE PLAINS (PARTS OF EL
PASO, EASTERN PUEBLO AND PARTS OF OTERO AND CROWLEY COUNTIES,
WHERE TEMPS WERE IN THE 10S. THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WAS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS WHILE THE MTNS WERE GENERALLY IN THE 10S AND 20S.
FOR TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...BRUNT OF PRECIP OVER THE CENTRAL
MTNS WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING PER LATEST DESI STATISTICAL
GUIDANCE, SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH LESSER
ACCUMULATIONS WITH THE PRECIP SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASING. AS FOR
WINDS, WE COULD SEE A PERIOD OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AMPLIFIED
ALONG THE MTNS/PLAINS INTERFACE DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS
(9-11 AM) THIS MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON, ALL AREAS WILL
BECOME BREEZY TO WINDS AS WE WARM UP AND STRONGER WINDS MIX
DOWN. AS FOR TEMPS, 40S AND 50S ARE LIKELY OVER THE PLAINS,
WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS. AREAS
WHERE THE SNOW PACK IS STILL AROUND WILL WARM UP DUE TO THE
MIXING, AND EXPECT QUITE A BIT OF SNOW WILL MELT/SUBLIMINATE
WITH THE DOWNSLOPE FLOW.
AN ILL DEFINED PACIFIC FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING, AND THIS WILL BRING IN SOME COOLER WEATHER FOR THE ENTIRE
REGION TOMORROW. HOWEVER, WINDS TOMORROW WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS
TODAY. IT WILL BE DRY TOMORROW, WITH THE EXCEPTION FOR THE MTNS IN
LAKE COUNTY WHERE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING ON
THE NORTHWEST SLOPES.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 208 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
FORM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, TEMPS WILL GRADUALLY WARM EACH
DAY AND IT WILL BE DRY. FROM MIDWEEK ONWARDS, THERE IS QUITE A
BIT OF SPREAD IN THE TEMPS ALTHOUGH IT WILL LIKELY BE
RELATIVELY MILD OVER THE REGION. THIS VARIABILITY IS LIKELY DUE
WITH INCONSISTENCIES IN THE MID RANGE GUIDANCE ON THE PLACEMENT
OF THE JET OVER THE REGION (GFS IS FARTHER NORTH WITH THE JET
DURING THIS TIME AS COMPARED TO THE EC). ALL THE GUIDANCE SHOWS
ANOTHER WEAK WAVE MOVING IN THE NW FLOW ALOFT TO THE NORTH OF
THE REGION, AND THIS WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SOME MORE SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE CENTRAL MTNS DURING THE WED/THU TIME FRAME, WITH
A BIT COOLER TEMPS OVER THE AREA. NEXT WEEKEND LOOKS MILD AND
DRY. \/HODANISH
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 418 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
KCOS -
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH ABOUT 16 UTC TODAY THEN IT WILL MIX OUT. EXPECT BREEZY
NW SFC WINDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS, THEN LIGHT
NORTH WIND TONIGHT. DRY WX ANTICIPATED.
KPUB -
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT WIND THROUGH ABOUT 16 UTC THEN BREEZY
WEST TO NW SFC WINDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. LIGHT
WEST WIND FLOW THEREAFTER. DRY WX ANTICIPATED.
KALS -
VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. BREEZY NW WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. DRY WX
ANTICIPATED.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR COZ058-
060.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
COZ059-061.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...HODANISH
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