958
FXUS65 KPUB 191719
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1019 AM MST FRI DEC 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED FIRE DANGER CONCERNS TODAY, ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
POSSIBLE RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES.
- WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH
AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- A POSSIBLE PATTERN SHIFT, AT LEAST FOR THE MOUNTAINS, LOOKS TO
ARRIVE AROUND CHRISTMAS OR SO.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 218 AM MST FRI DEC 19 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT..
WESTERLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT,
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH FIRE DANGER AND NEAR RECORD
TEMPERATURES. RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE FOR MOST OF OUR PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON, FROM 11 AM THROUGH 7 PM. HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE LOW
TEENS AND A FEW SINGLE DIGITS ARE LIKELY, ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS OF
25 TO 45 MPH DEPENDING ON LOCATION. PLEASE AVOID ALL ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A FIRE TODAY, ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE IN A RED FLAG WARNED
AREA! DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SOAR WELL INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S ON OUR PLAINS, WITH MID TO UPPER 50S FOR
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. STANDING RECORDS AND FORECAST HIGHS ARE LISTED
BELOW THIS PARAGRAPH, BUT ALL THREE OF OUR CLIMATE SITES ARE
EXPECTED TO TIE OR BREAK RECORDS TODAY. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS, TELLER COUNTY, AND THE SANGRES THROUGH THE
DAYTIME HOURS, WHEN GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVERNIGHT, A
JET CORE OF 150KT OR SO PASSES TO OUR NORTH. THIS WILL BE THE
TIMEFRAME FOR STRONGEST GUSTS. AT THIS TIME, HIGH RES MODEL GUIDANCE
PAINTS STRONGEST GUSTS ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE SOUTHERN SANGRES AND
THROUGH EASTERN LAKE COUNTRY ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE MOSQUITO RANGE.
IN THESE AREAS, GUSTS CLOSER TO 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THESE AREAS
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR HIGH WIND POTENTIAL AS THE EVENT DRAWS
CLOSER, ESPECIALLY THE MOSQUITOS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE EXTREMELY
MILD AND ACTUALLY APPROACHING WHAT WOULD BE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR, WITH MOST LOCATIONS ONLY COOLING DOWN INTO THE
UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S. FOR REFERENCE, THE CLIMATE NORMAL DAYTIME
HIGH FOR COLORADO SPRINGS IS 44F FOR DECEMBER 19TH. THEIR FORECAST
LOW TONIGHT IS 41F. THEY ARE FORECAST TO BE BE AROUND 23 DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR THEIR HIGH TODAY, WHICH WILL TIE THEIR DAILY
RECORD IF IT IS ACHIEVED.
STANDING RECORD FORECAST
COLORADO SPRINGS 67F 67F
PUEBLO 70F 72F
ALAMOSA 56F 57F
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 218 AM MST FRI DEC 19 2025
SATURDAY..
WIND DRIVEN SNOW BEGINS OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING, WITH A QUICK 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE POSSIBLE BY LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGHEST PEAKS. THOUGH ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE TOO LIGHT FOR HEADLINES, STRONG WINDS AND WIND DRIVEN SNOW WILL
LEAD TO DEGRADED VISIBILITY AND DANGEROUS TRAVEL AT TIMES,
ESPECIALLY THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. TAKE CARE ON MOUNTAIN ROADS
TOMORROW, MAINLY THROUGH LAKE AND CHAFFEE COUNTIES, THOUGH A FEW
FLURRIES MAY BE POSSIBLE DOWN IN THE LA GARITAS AS WELL.
ALL OTHER AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY DRY TOMORROW, WITH TEMPERATURES
COOLING BACK DOWN INTO THE 50S AND 60S ON THE PLAINS. THOUGH THIS
WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN TODAY, WE ARE STILL GOING TO BE AROUND 15
DEGREES WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS. WINDS WILL BE HOWLING
OVER THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED AREAS OF THE HIGH COUNTRY INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS, BUT LOOK TO BEGIN TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE 9 AM
TO NOON TIMEFRAME OR SO. PORTIONS OF FREMONT, TELLER, AND WESTERN
PUEBLO COUNTIES WILL LIKELY STAY BREEZY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY,
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH OR SO.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY..
WE COOL BACK DOWN MUCH CLOSER TO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, WITH LOWS BACK INTO THE TEENS FOR
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND 20S FOR THE PLAINS AS WINDS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.
DAYTIME HIGHS REMAIN WARMER THAN NORMAL, BUT WILL AGAIN BE COOLER
THAN SATURDAY. MOST LOCATIONS LOOK TO WARM INTO THE 50S, WITH A FEW
60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WILL LIKELY
SEE A FEW MORE SNOW FLURRIES WITH CONTINUED WESTERLY FLOW, THOUGH
ACCUMULATIONS ON SUNDAY WILL BE MINIMAL.
MONDAY ONWARDS..
GUIDANCE POINTS TOWARDS THE RETURN OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
IN THE 60S TO 70S RANGE FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS BROAD
SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASES OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF THE
PLAINS, AND WILL KEEP BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER OUR EASTERN
MOUNTAINS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS PERIOD. MODELS HINT AT A PATTERN
SHIFT BY AROUND THE LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY TIMEFRAME, AS DECENT
MOISTURE BEGINS TO ACCOMPANY OUR SOUTHWEST FLOW THOUGH. THIS WILL AT
LEAST HELP TO BRING IN SNOW CHANCES FOR OUR WESTERN MOUNTAINS. IT
WILL ALSO LIKELY BRING IN SOME CLOUD COVER FOR THE REST US, WHICH
SHOULD HELP TO TAKE THE EDGE OFF OUR TEMPERATURES AND OUR FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS TOWARDS THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1019 AM MST FRI DEC 19 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KALS, KCOS, AND KPUB THROUGH 24
HOURS, THOUGH STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE DECK MAY BE CAUSE FOR
CONCERN.
KALS: GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS, AROUND 25 KNOTS, WILL PERSIST INTO
THIS EVENING, WEAKENING OVERNIGHT WITH SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ROLLING
IN.
KCOS AND KPUB: STRONG WEST WINDS GUSTING 25-30 KNOTS WILL MOVE INTO
BOTH TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON, LINGERING INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
DURING THE OVERNIGHT, STARTING BY 03-04Z, DATA SHOWS ENOUGH OF A
SIGNAL TO INCLUDE LLWS IN BOTH TAFS INTO THE MORNING HOURS. WINDS AT
THE SURFACE ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 10-15 KNOTS, WITH
WINDS AT 2 KFT OUT OF THE WEST 35-40 KNOTS, WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE. INVERSIONS SHOULD MIX OUT MID-LATE MORNING ON SATURDAY,
BRINGING GUSTS BACK DOWN TOWARDS THE SURFACE.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR COZ221-222-
226>233-235>237.
SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...EHR
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
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