991
FXUS65 KPUB 151730
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1030 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER MILD DAY TODAY.
- COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS LATER TONIGHT AND WILL BRING COLDER
WEATHER TO THE REGION FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
- LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DURING THE
AFTERNOON FRIDAY OVER THE GREATER KIOWA COUNTY REGION.
- CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE PRECIP DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS OVER THE FCST
AREA IS LOW, BUT SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OCCASIONALLY POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 302 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
CURRENTLY...
CLEAR SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE
BANANA BELT REGION WAS LIVING UP TO ITS NAME AS TEMPS WERE IN THE
MID 40S ALONG THE MTNS/PLAINS INTERFACE WHILE FURTHER EAST TEMPS
WERE MAINLY IN THE 20S AND 30S. THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WAS IN THE TEENS
AND 20S WITH MTNS TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 20S.
TODAY...
ANOTHER DRY AND MILD DAY WITH MAINLY LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS.
ANTICIPATE MAX TEMPS OF AROUND 60 TODAY ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH THE
WARMEST TEMPS OVER FAR SE CO PLAINS. VALLEYS SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER
40S WITH MTNS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
TONIGHT...SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PUSH INTO THE REGION. A RATHER STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
SHOULD BE DOWN THE THE NM BORDER PRIOR TO SUNRISE FRIDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING IN MUCH COOLER WEATHER TO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY. WE
WILL LIKELY SEE SOME CLOUDS MOVE INTO THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING, AND I CANNOT RULE OUT A SNOWFLAKE OR TWO ACROSS N EL PASO
COUNTY TOWARDS SUNRISE FRIDAY, BUT ANY ACCUMULATION PRECIP IN NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 302 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
FRIDAY...
IMPACTFUL WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THIS DAY, WITH THE MAIN
CONCERN BEING STRONG WINDS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS, ESPECIALLY
IN KIOWA COUNTY. MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER ISSUES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE
AS WINDS WILL BE MORE THAN STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH FIRE WEATHER
CRITERIA, BUT RH VALUES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE CRITICAL. SINCE
WINDS MAY REACH HIGH WIND CRITERIA, A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR KIOWA COUNTY.
OVERALL IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER ON THIS DAY WITH 40S OVER THE PLAINS
AND VALLEYS (WITH THE VALLEYS LIKELY BEING A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN
THE PLAINS). THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION WILL LIKELY NOT SEE MUCH IN
THE WAY OF WIND AS THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN GENERALLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM FAR NE EL PASO COUNTY TO LAS ANIMAS AND THEN
DOWN TOWARDS SPRINGFIELD.
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE COLD WITH LOWS IN THE 10 TO 15 DEGREE RANGE ON
THE PLAINS AND NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE SLV. SOME SNOW SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR ON THE PLAINS.
SATURDAY...
THIS SHOULD BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE FCST PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LESS
THIS DAY AS COMPARED TO FRIDAY, BUT WILL STILL BE BREEZY IN AREAS,
ESPECIALLY OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. IT WILL BE DRY BUT MAX TEMPS
WILL ONLY BE IN THE 30S, WITH TEMPS MAYBE NOT REACHING ABOVE
FREEZING OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.
SUNDAY WILL WARM UP AND IT WILL BE DRY. SUNDAY WILL DEFINITELY BE
THE NICER DAY OF THE WEEKEND TIME PERIOD.
ANOTHER BRIEF COOL-OFF WILL OCCUR ON MONDAY, AND ONCE AGAIN WE
COULD SEE SOME PASSING INSIGNIFICANT SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY OVER THE
PALMER DIVIDE REGION.
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK EXPECT UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPS TO CONTINUE
AND IT WILL LIKELY BE DRY.
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATING PRECIP MAY OCCUR NEXT WEEKEND.
\/HODANISH
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1030 AM MST THU JAN 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OF THE NEXT 24
HRS, INCLUDING THE THREE MAIN TAF SITES OF KCOS, KPUB AND KALS.
FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS STARTING AROUND 06Z
TONIGHT WILL AFFECT KCOS AND KPUB. PLAN ON INCREASING AND AT TIMES
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS FOR BOTH SITES STARTING AROUND 20Z THIS
AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH A
HIGHER PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE FOR KCOS.
KCOS: NORTH GUSTS TO 25 KT STARTING AT 20Z AND LASTING THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. GUSTS TO 32 KT POSSIBLE 05Z-09Z.
KPUB: NORTH GUSTS 20-25 KT FROM 20Z THROUGH 09Z.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR COZ095-096.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...MOORE
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