540
FXUS65 KPUB 170956
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
256 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RED FLAG WARNING ISSUED FOR FAR EASTERN PLAINS TODAY.
- COLD AND VERY DRY TODAY WITH WINDY CONDITIONS FAR EASTERN PLAINS.
- JET STREAM (AND SEVERAL PASSING DISTURBANCES) TO REMAIN TO OUR
NORTH; MAYBE A BETTER CHANCE OF SOME MTN PRECIP NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
CURRENTLY...
JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS THE REGION BRING SOME SNOW TO THE CENTRAL
MTNS AND SOME PASSING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NE EL PASO COUNTY. THIS
STREAK WAS DENOTED QUITE NICELY BY THE BANDED CLOUD STRUCTURE
STRETCHING NW-SE ACROSS THE STATE OF CO FROM NEAR STEAMBOAT SE
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL CO. TEMPS EARLY THIS AM WERE QUITE CHILLY, WITH
READINGS IN THE 10S ACROSS MOST OF THE PLAINS AND VALLEYS, WITH
SINGLE DIGITS IN THE MTNS.
TODAY...
THE SNOW SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE REGION SHOULD END PRIOR TO
SUNRISE.
MAIN IMPACTFUL WEATHER TODAY WILL BE OVER THE FAR SE PLAINS.
ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY TODAY, DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE
NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGIT VALUES ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE REGION AND IT
WILL BE WINDY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. GIVEN THE WINDS AND
VERY LOW RH VALUES, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE GOING TO BE
MEANT, AND FOR THIS REASON A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.
OVER THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION, WINDS WILL BE MUCH LESS AND RH VALUES
WILL BE A TAD HIGHER, SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED.
IT SHOULD BE DRY ALL AREAS AFTER SUNRISE TODAY. GO BRONCOS!
TONIGHT...
COLD WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS MOST AREAS. COLDEST WX
IN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
TOMORROW...
A MUCH NICER DAY IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES RECOVERING INTO THE
50S ACROSS THE PLAINS AND 40S SLV. IT SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH
DIURNAL LIGHT WIND FLOW.
MONDAY, ANOTHER BRIEF COOLDOWN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW SHOWERS
OCCURRING OVER PARTS OF THE REGION, MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM COLORADO SPRINGS TO LAMAR DURING THE MORNING DAYLIGHT
HOURS. MAX TEMPS THIS DAY WILL MAINLY BE AROUND 40 MOST AREAS.
FROM TUESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, TEMPS WILL BE MILD WITH MAINLY IN
THE 40S AND 50S. IT WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES. WE MAY SEE SOME FIRE WX
CONCERNS RETURNING DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS RH VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO TANK ONCE AGAIN AND IT WILL BE BREEZY. DESI GUIDANCE
IS SHOWING A BIT BETTER CHANCE OF SOME MOISTURE RETURNING TO
THE REGION (ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL MTNS) NEXT WEEKEND BUT THE
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ALL THE PROMISING
ATTM. \/HODANISH
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1039 PM MST FRI JAN 16 2026
KALS: VFR EXPECTED THROUGH 24 HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT, WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 KNOTS PICKING UP AGAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
KCOS: BREEZY NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. STRONGER GUSTS WILL MIX DOWN TOWARDS THE SURFACE BY
12Z SATURDAY MORNING, GUSTING 30-40 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND
WEAKENING SATURDAY NIGHT. MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE PERSISTENT, BUT
CURRENTLY CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN VFR.
KPUB: WINDS WILL TURN NORTHERLY BY 10Z OR SO SATURDAY MORNING, WITH
INCREASING FLOW INTO THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL BE UP TO AROUND 30
KNOTS. MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE PREVALENT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING,
WITH CLEARING SKIES AND WEAKER WINDS INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST THIS
EVENING FOR COZ234>237.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
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