487
FXUS65 KPUB 171731
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1031 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RED FLAG WARNING ISSUED FOR FAR EASTERN PLAINS TODAY.
- COLD AND VERY DRY TODAY WITH WINDY CONDITIONS FAR EASTERN PLAINS.
- JET STREAM (AND SEVERAL PASSING DISTURBANCES) TO REMAIN TO OUR
NORTH; MAYBE A BETTER CHANCE OF SOME MTN PRECIP NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
CURRENTLY...
JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS THE REGION BRING SOME SNOW TO THE CENTRAL
MTNS AND SOME PASSING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NE EL PASO COUNTY. THIS
STREAK WAS DENOTED QUITE NICELY BY THE BANDED CLOUD STRUCTURE
STRETCHING NW-SE ACROSS THE STATE OF CO FROM NEAR STEAMBOAT SE
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL CO. TEMPS EARLY THIS AM WERE QUITE CHILLY, WITH
READINGS IN THE 10S ACROSS MOST OF THE PLAINS AND VALLEYS, WITH
SINGLE DIGITS IN THE MTNS.
TODAY...
THE SNOW SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE REGION SHOULD END PRIOR TO
SUNRISE.
MAIN IMPACTFUL WEATHER TODAY WILL BE OVER THE FAR SE PLAINS.
ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY TODAY, DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE
NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGIT VALUES ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE REGION AND IT
WILL BE WINDY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. GIVEN THE WINDS AND
VERY LOW RH VALUES, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE GOING TO BE
MEANT, AND FOR THIS REASON A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.
OVER THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION, WINDS WILL BE MUCH LESS AND RH VALUES
WILL BE A TAD HIGHER, SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED.
IT SHOULD BE DRY ALL AREAS AFTER SUNRISE TODAY. GO BRONCOS!
TONIGHT...
COLD WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS MOST AREAS. COLDEST WX
IN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
TOMORROW...
A MUCH NICER DAY IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES RECOVERING INTO THE
50S ACROSS THE PLAINS AND 40S SLV. IT SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH
DIURNAL LIGHT WIND FLOW.
MONDAY, ANOTHER BRIEF COOLDOWN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW SHOWERS
OCCURRING OVER PARTS OF THE REGION, MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM COLORADO SPRINGS TO LAMAR DURING THE MORNING DAYLIGHT
HOURS. MAX TEMPS THIS DAY WILL MAINLY BE AROUND 40 MOST AREAS.
FROM TUESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, TEMPS WILL BE MILD WITH MAINLY IN
THE 40S AND 50S. IT WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES. WE MAY SEE SOME FIRE WX
CONCERNS RETURNING DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS RH VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO TANK ONCE AGAIN AND IT WILL BE BREEZY. DESI GUIDANCE
IS SHOWING A BIT BETTER CHANCE OF SOME MOISTURE RETURNING TO
THE REGION (ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL MTNS) NEXT WEEKEND BUT THE
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ALL THE PROMISING
ATTM. \/HODANISH
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1026 AM MST SAT JAN 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT COS, PUB AND ALS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS 20-30KT AT ALS TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON, WITH LIGHT DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED THERE AFTER.
WITH EXPECTED MIXING, SHOULD SEE BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS 15-25KT
DEVELOPING AT COS BETWEEN 18Z-20Z. COS WINDS TO DIMINISH
BECOMING LIGHT DIURNALLY DRIVEN AFTER SUNSET. PUB WINDS LOOK TO
REMAIN LIGHT AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR COZ234>237.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...MW
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page