505
FXUS65 KPUB 081721
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1021 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY, WITH DRY WEATHER
PERSISTING FOR ALL AREAS.
- A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR
FOR MONDAY, AND NEAR RECORD WARMTH WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR ALL
AREAS.
- A COOL DOWN TOWARDS CLOSER TO NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARRIVES
TUESDAY, WITH SNOW CHANCES POSSIBLY RETURNING FOR WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
TODAY AND TONIGHT..
ANOTHER DAY OF WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED FOR OUR SUNDAY, AS A LOW SITS OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA AND
WE REMAIN IN WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES LOOK
TO BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY, THOUGH WE WILL
STILL CLIMB INTO THE 15 TO 20 DEGREES WARMER THAN NORMAL RANGE. THIS
WILL MEAN HIGHS BACK INTO THE 60S AND LOW 70S ON THE PLAINS, WITH
UPPER 50S FOR MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. WINDS LOOK TO BE WEAKER TODAY THAN
THEY WERE YESTERDAY, AND SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR. OVERNIGHT LOWS
REMAIN MUCH WARMER THAN NORMAL ONCE AGAIN, WITH OUR SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND MOUNTAIN ADJACENT PLAINS ONLY COOLING INTO THE 30S AND LOW 40S.
AREAS IN AND NORTH OF THE LOWER ARKANSAS RIVE VALLEY LOOK TO COOL
INTO THE UPPER 20S, WITH TEENS FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY TONIGHT.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 253 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
TOMORROW..
ZONAL, WESTERLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS ON MONDAY,
THOUGH STRONGEST JET SUPPORT FOR HIGH WINDS REMAINS NORTH OF
COLORADO. FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO THOUGH, INCREASED GAP FLOW WINDS
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF OUR MOUNTAIN
ADJACENT PLAINS. FOR NOW, PUEBLO AND HUERFANO COUNTIES ARE UNDER A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS THAT MAY NEED TO BE
ADDED LATER INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO; SOUTHERN EL PASO,
FREMONT, LAS ANIMAS, AND BACA COUNTIES, WHERE CURRENT FORECAST
CONDITIONS SUGGEST THAT EITHER WINDS WILL NOT MEET CRITERIA, OR
FUELS HAVE BEEN DEEMED NOT RECEPTIVE BY PARTNERS. WHETHER THESE
AREAS ARE ADDED TO FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS OR NOT, CAUTION WILL BE
NEEDED NOT TO START A FIRE ON MONDAY GIVEN HOW WARM AND DRY WE WILL
BE. ALL THREE OF OUR CLIMATE SITES ARE FORECAST TO COME WITHIN A
COUPLE OF DEGREES OF THEIR STANDING DAILY RECORDS FOR FEBRUARY 9TH,
WITH ALL OF OUR PLAINS LOCATIONS WARMING WELL INTO THE 70S, AND
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS TOPPING OUT IN THE 60S AS WELL. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL DOWN INTO THE TEENS FOR MOUNTAIN VALLEYS
AND OUR EASTERN PLAINS, WITH SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS.
STANDING RECORDS: FORECAST:
ALAMOSA: 59F 60F
C SPRINGS: 71F 70F
PUEBLO: 78F 76F
MONDAY NIGHT ONWARDS..
WE REMAIN WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR MONDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY FOR OUR
MOUNTAIN ADJACENT PLAINS AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. MODELS BRING A COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE PLAINS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY THOUGH, WHICH
SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME HIGHS A LITTLE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BEGINS TO SETUP THROUGH MID-WEEK, AS
THE BAJA LOW EVENTUALLY EJECTS INTO NORTHERN MEXICO AND EVENTUALLY
TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO STAY TOO FAR SOUTH TO BRING US ANY
IMPACTS, BUT SUBTLE MOISTURE DOES START TO MAKE ITS WAY TOWARDS US
THROUGH MID-WEEK, BRINGING VERY LIGHT SNOW BACK TO CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND THE SAN JUANS BY LATE TUESDAY. BETTER MOISTURE ARRIVES WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, AS MODELS TRY TO BRING A LOW ONSHORE OVER
CALIFORNIA. ENSEMBLES ARE NOT IN GREAT AGREEMENT ABOUT THE
PROGRESSION OF THE RESULTANT TROUGHING PATTERN, BUT IT DOES LOOK
LIKE WE SHOULD COOL BACK DOWN AND POSSIBLY SEE BETTER CHANCES FOR
RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE NEAR CERTAIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT ALL
3 TAF SITES, KPUB, KALS AND KCOS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
DIURNALLY DRIVEN.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR COZ228>230-233.
SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...EHR
AVIATION...HODANISH
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