489
FXUS65 KPUB 082105
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
205 PM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RED FLAG WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE REGION FOR TOMORROW.
- COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING, COOLER WEATHER ALL
AREAS THEREAFTER.
- SHOWERS BEGIN IN MTNS EARLY WED AND PICK UP IN INTENSITY LATER IN
THE WEEK.
- SOME SHOWERY PRECIP POSSIBLE PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 202 PM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
CURRENTLY...
ANOTHER NICE DAY OVER THE REGION TODAY AS TEMPS WERE IN THE 50S AND
60S ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH 40S IN THE LARGER VALLEYS. BANDS OF THIN
CIRRUS WERE MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION.
REST OF TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
DRY WITH LIGHT DIURNAL WIND FLOW. TEMPS WILL BE QUITE MILD
TOMORROW...
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE FIRE WEATHER. ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
MAINLY THE GREATER I-25 CORRIDOR REGION FROM PUEBLO SOUTH TO THE NM
BORDER. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS
TELLER AND FREMONT COUNTY AND BACA COUNTIES, WITH LESS CONFIDENCE
ACROSS LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. MODELS/STATISTICAL GUIDANCE WAS SHOWING
RED FLAG CONDITIONS WERE NOT LIKELY ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY, WITH THE
ONLY EXCEPTION BEING THE EXTREME SW CORNER OF EL PASO COUNTY, ACROSS
THE S FORT CARSON REGION.
IT WILL BE WARM TOMORROW AND RECORD HIGH TEMPS CANT BE RULED OUT.
RECORDS FOR THE DATA TOMORROW ARE:
STANDING RECORDS: FORECAST:
ALAMOSA: 59F 59F
C SPRINGS: 71F 60F
PUEBLO: 78F 75F
TEMPS ACROSS THE PLAINS TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S, WITH KALS SEEING THE BEST CHANCE AT RECORD HIGH TEMPS.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 202 PM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
TOMORROW NIGHT, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS FRONT
WILL COME ACROSS DRY BUT COOLER AIR ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS
WILL FOLLOW IN BEHIND THE FRONT.
TUESDAY...
NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR (AT LEAST FOR ONE DAY) WILL MOVE OVER THE
REGION. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS ON THIS DAY TO ONLY BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S ACROSS THE PLAINS AND VALLEYS.
WEDNESDAY...
PATTERN CHANGES AS MOISTURE SHOULD START TO IMPINGE ON THE DIVIDE
REGION, WITH RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. AMOUNTS WILL
NOT ADD UP TO TOO MUCH BUT ANY PRECIP IS BETTER THAN NONE. IT WILL
REMAIN DRY OVER THE PLAINS BUT WE SHOULD SEE A GOOD CHANCE OF
PRECIP OVER THE MTNS, ESPECIALLY BY LATE IN THE DAY.
THU-FRI
A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL OCCUR OVER THE MTNS AS
A STRONG MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY JET WILL BE MOVING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THIS WILL BE THE BEST CHANCE OF HIGHER QPF OCCURRING OVER
THE DIVIDE. DESI GUIDANCE INDICATES 1.5 TO 2.0 LWE OVER THE DIVIDE
REGION DURING THIS TWO DAY PERIOD. THIS WILL ALSO BE THE BEST CHANCE
OF PRECIP OVER THE PLAINS (ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY). AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THE MAJORITY OF PRECIP ON THE PLAINS WILL BE LIQUID AS THERE
IS NOT MUCH COLD AIR WITH THIS INCOMING TROUGH, ALTHOUGH THE PALMER
DIVIDE WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW, ESPECIALLY THU NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.
FOR THE WEEKEND WEATHER WILL STILL REMAIN UNSETTLED WITH SHOWERS
CONTINUING WHILE PLAINS SHOULD DRY OUT. 50S AND 60 LIKELY FOR MAX
TEMPS OVER THE PLAINS NEXT WEEKEND. \/HODANISH
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1018 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE NEAR CERTAIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT ALL
3 TAF SITES, KPUB, KALS AND KCOS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
DIURNALLY DRIVEN.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM MST MONDAY FOR COZ221-222-
228>230-233-237.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...HODANISH
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