065
FXUS65 KPUB 110506
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1006 PM MST TUE FEB 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE CONTDVD NOW THRU THU, SEVERAL INCHES
LIKELY.
- 2ND SYSTEM MOVING OVER AREA FRI; THIS SYSTEM LOOKING LESS
IMPRESSIVE (MOVING TOO FAR SOUTH)
- LONG RANGE SHOW POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE OF MORE SUBSTANTIAL SYSTEMS
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 203 PM MST TUE FEB 10 2026
CURRENTLY...
MUCH COOLER WEATHER HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION. TEMPS WERE IN THE 30S
AND 40S ACROSS THE PLAINS AROUND THE NOONTIME HOUR, WITH 40S IN THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY. SKIES FOR THE MOST PART WERE CLEAR, EXCEPT ALONG
THE RAMPARTS WHERE SOME LOW CIGS WERE NOTED. ADDITIONALLY, A LARGE
BAND OF CLOUDINESS OVER NW CO WAS PROGRESSING EASTWARD, AND WAS JUST
STARTING TO IMPINGE INTO THE CENTRAL MTN REGION. LIGHT ECHOES WERE
NOTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE STATE.
NOW INTO TONIGHT...
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ON AN DOFF MAINLY OVER THE CENTRAL MTNS
NORTH OF COTTONWOOD PASS. ANY ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT, GENERALLY LESS THAN 2 INCHES. OTHERWISE EXPECT CLOUDS TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE MTNS AND VALLEYS ALONG THE
CONTDVD REGION. PLAINS WILL SEE SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDINESS
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. MIN TEMPS TONIGHT ARE GOING TO BE RATHER
UNIFORM OVR THE AREA WITH 10S AND 20S ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. MID
SLOPES SHOULD SEE THE WARMEST TEMPS.
TOMORROW...
WE START TO WARM UP ONE AGAIN REGION-WIDE AS A MID LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS ACROSS THE STATE IN ADVANCE OF A BROAD PACIFIC TROUGH OFF
THE WEST COAST. MAINLY 60S WILL BE ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH HIGHEST
TEMPS OVER THE RATON MESA REGION WHERE UPPER 60S ARE LIKELY. 50S IN
THE SLV. SNOW SHOWERS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE DIVIDE, AND 1-3 INCHES OF
NEW SHOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE SANGRE'S DURING THE AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER ISSUE FOR WEDNESDAY IS THAT THE WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS
MOS OF THE REGION. GUSTS IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL LIKELY BE 40 TO 50
MPH WHILE THE PLAINS WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 30 MPH RANGE. WINDS IN THE
SLV WILL ALSO BE GUSTING TO 35 MPH, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
VALLEY FLOOR.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 203 PM MST TUE FEB 10 2026
THURSDAY...
MAIN CONCERN THIS DAY IS THE CONTINUATION OF SNOW ALONG THE DIVIDE,
WITH THE STEADIER SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL MTN REGION.
THE PLAINS MAY START TO SEE SOME PRECIP BY LATE THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE. SOME OF THIS
PRECIP COULD BE SNOW DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. AS FOR TEMPS, MAX
TEMPS ON THURSDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THURSDAYS MAX TEMPS. WINDS
WILL BE LESS THIS DAY BUT IT WILL STILL BE BREEZY.
FRIDAY...
A SECOND MORE SUBSTANTIAL WAVE WILL AFFECT THE REGION, HOWEVER
TRENDS IN THE GUIDANCE ARE INDICATING THIS SYSTEM IS TRACKING
FARTHER SOUTH, SO IMPACTS MAY BE LESS THAN WHAT WAS ORIGINALLY
FORECASTED. AT THIS TIME THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL BE SOUTH OF
US50, AND IF MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE, MOST OF THE PRECIP MAY BE
RESTRICTED TO THE CO/NM BORDER.
IT WILL LIKELY BE COOLER ON FRIDAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. 40S
AND 50S WILL BE LIKELY ON THE PLAINS WITH 40S SLV.
FOR THE WEEKEND...
SUNDAY LOOKS WARMER THAN SATURDAY. WE MAY SEE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS
ON SATURDAY OVER THE SOUTHER TIER OF THE PLAINS.
FOR NEXT WEEK, A MUCH MORE SUBSTANTIAL PACIFIC TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
COME ONSHORE. DESI IS SHOWING QUITE A BIT OF (STRONG) WINDS WITH
THIS TROUGH AND FROM A PATTERN RECOGNITION POINT OF VIEW, THE
CONTDVD REGION SHOULD DO WELL WITH SNOW, ESPECIALLY THE SAN JUANS AS
STRONG, DEEP MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS LIKELY, ESPECIALLY TOWARDS
MID WEEK. IN ADVANCE OF THIS TROUGH IT WILL BE WARM, AND WITH THE
WINDS INCREASING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL LIKELY BE RAMPING UP,
ESPECIALLY EARLY/MID WEEK. ADDITIONALLY, ANOTHER FAIRLY STOUT
TROUGH LOOKS TO BE ON THE HEELS OF THIS MIDWEEK TROUGH. \/ HODANISH
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1005 PM MST TUE FEB 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL THREE TERMINALS (KALS, KCOS, KPUB) THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS NEAR 20 KTS ARE
POSSIBLE AT KALS AND KCOS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MOZLEY
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...MOZLEY
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