204
FXUS65 KPUB 071709
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1009 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER RETURNS WITH SPOTTY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS RETURNING AT TIMES ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND
I-25 CORRIDOR SUN AND MON IF FUELS ARE CRITICAL.
- CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TUE AND TUE NIGHT FOR
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS.
- INCREASING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MID TO LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1213 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND ADJACENT VALLEYS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS OVERNIGHT AS AN
ORPHANED WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER CONTINUES TO SQUEEZE OUT LIGHT
SNOW. LIFT IS WEAKENING SO EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO WITH ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL
AMOUNTS FOR LOCALIZED AREAS. CLEARING SKIES AND DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN FOR SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE MID 40S
AND 50S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH 30S AND 40S ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AND MANY AREAS WILL SEE THE SNOW MELT
OFF EFFICIENTLY THROUGH THE DAY. TONIGHT WILL BE DRY AND MOSTLY
CLEAR ALLOWING FOR EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING OVER THE MOUNTAIN
VALLEYS. WENT TOWARDS COLDER SIDE OF GUIDANCE AND BLENDS FOR
LOWS IN THOSE AREAS. OTHERWISE LEE TROUGHING RETURNS ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL YIELD WARMER LOW TEMPERATURES
WHERE ENHANCED WESTERLY DRAINAGE WINDS SET UP ALONG THE LOWER
EASTERN SLOPES. -KT
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1213 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
SPOTTY ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCREASE
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS AND PORTIONS OF THE
I-25 CORRIDOR. FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY STILL LOOKS FAIRLY WEAK AND
WITH THE RECENT SNOW COVER, FUELS MAY STILL BE TOO MOIST, THOUGH
GREATEST CONCERN AREAS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR WHERE SNOWFALL WAS
LIGHTEST WITH THIS LAST EVENT. SUSPECT THAT WINDS WILL COME UP
SHY ACROSS MOST AREAS ANYWAY, SO DID NOT ISSUE ANY FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES AT THIS POINT. ODDS INCREASE FOR MONDAY AS WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT INCREASES. THE SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF
THE I-25 CORRIDOR WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE THOUGH DRIEST
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS ARE NOT AS WELL JUXTAPOSED
TO THE STRONGER WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS, SO THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S TO
AROUND 80 ACROSS THE PLAINS ON MONDAY WITH 50S AND 60S FOR THE
VALLEYS AND 30S AND 40S FOR THE MOUNTAIN AREAS.
OLD CUT OFF LOW LIFTS OUT ACROSS NM ON TUESDAY WITH THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF ITS PRECIPITATION SHIELD INVADING SOUTHERN AREAS
THROUGH THE DAY. A NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS
THE ROCKIES WHICH WILL HELP INCREASE WINDS ALOFT, CREATING SOME
SPOTTY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE I-25 CORRIDOR.
ONCE THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH PASSES TO THE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT, A COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE PLAINS BRINGING A
CHANCE FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION AS IT HAS TRENDED BACK TOWARDS A
MORE AMPLIFIED BUT PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT
COOL DOWN FOR WEDNESDAY AS WE DRY OUT AGAIN. THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCREASES FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS WE REMAIN UNDER STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT. -KT
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1009 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
A FEW LINGERING CLOUDS OVER KALS AND KCOS WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS, WITH VFR AND DIURNAL WIND REGIMES EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT, DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 24
HOURS AT KPUB.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
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