764
FXUS65 KPUB 260459
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1059 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT TODAY, TOMORROW AND MONDAY, THEN A BIT LESS HOT THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
- DAILY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING STORMS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
- FEW IF ANY STORMS PLAINS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, THEN POPS
CHANCES INCREASE THEREAFTER.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 107 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026
IT WILL BE HOT OVER THE PLAINS BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. READING WILL
BE IN THE 100S OVER A GOOD PART OF THE PLAINS BOTH DAYS, WITH THE
HOTTEST WEATHER TOMORROW. READINGS WILL PUSH NEAR 110F TOMORROW
IN THE LAMAR REGION.
THE RECORD HIGH FOR TOMORROW AT PUEBLO COULD BE TIED OR BROKEN
(RECORD IS 103, FCST IS FOR 104). AT COS TOMORROW THE RECORD IS 97
AND THE FCST IS FOR 97). FOR ALAMOSA THE RECORD IS 91 AND THE
FCST IS 90.
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN, THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MTNS SCATTERED
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS, WITH ISOLATED STORMS SAN LUIS
VALLEY. ANY HEAVY SHOWERS OVER THE BURN SCARS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
IF ANY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL BE IN LIKELY
ADJACENT TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN EL PASO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 107 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE MONDAY, ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE A DEGREE OR TWO
COOLER ACROSS THE PLAINS. READINGS OF 104 TO 108 WILL BE LIKELY FROM
PUEBLO TO THE KS BORDER ALONG THE US50 CORRIDOR.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN MONDAY
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG THE CONTDVD. WITH FLOW BECOMING A
BIT MORE WESTERLY ALOFT, THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR SOME
EVENING STORMS OVER THE PLAINS.
FOR TUESDAY ONWARD, TEMPERATURES WILL COOL DOWN A FEW DEGREES OVER
THE PLAINS WITH MAINLY 90S ACROSS THE PLAINS (ALTHOUGH THE
LAMAR AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE AROUND 100). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MOUNTAINS, AND WE WILL SEE
A BIT BETTER CHANCE .OF STORMS OVER THE PLAINS, ESPECIALLY ON
TUESDAY, AS A WEAK BOUNDARY MAY PUSH THROUGH ON THIS DAY.
\/HODANISH
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1055 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS. KPUB AND KCOS WILL SEE
MORE NORTHEAST TO EASTERLY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON AROUND 10-15
KTS BEHIND A DIFFUSE BOUNDARY WHICH MAY BE THE FOCUS FOR
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WILL CARRY VCSH FOR
NOW AT BOTH TERMINALS UNTIL BETTER CONFIDENCE IS GAINED ON -TSRA
POTENTIAL. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN AFTER 22Z FOR KCOS
AND AFTER 00 OR 01Z AT KPUB. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BUT WILL TRY TO TIME THE WIND SHIFTS IN PREVAILING
GROUPS FOR NOW. KALS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR -TSRA AND
HAVE INCLUDED THAT IN A PROB30 GROUP FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE. -KT
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR COZ083>086-089-
093-095>099.
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...KT
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