362
FNUS75 KPUB 051906
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE ICT4(T)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
106 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FIRE AREA ON THURSDAY
FROM NOON UNTIL 7 PM MDT DUE TO VERY LOW RH LEVELS AND FORECAST
GUSTY WINDS. HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, BUT STRONG WINDS ARE QUESTIONABLE AND MAY NOT PUSH
CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOR A LARGE ENOUGH AREA. STARTING SUNDAY, LONG
RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT AN INCREASE IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE,
WHICH THEN INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
IF THIS OCCURS, PLAN ON ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WHICH WILL HELP HUMIDITY LEVELS AND TEMPERATURES, BUT WHICH WILL
ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING STRIKES.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........W-NW 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NW 9-13
MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 10 7 3 7 10 14 13 12 11 10 9
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43 46 53 60 65 67 70 72 71 72 73 73
RH..............37 34 28 22 16 13 11 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 10 10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 25 25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 5.0 6.5 7.5 9.0 10 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 16 18 20 20 18 18 17 17 17
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 5 11 50 89 108 129 142 150 161 161 157
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NW WINDS 9-13 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN W-NW 4-8
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2400. NORTHWEST AROUND
6 MPH AFTER 0400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000,
THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8 8 9 9 9 10 10 8 7 5 5 4
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71 68 61 56 53 51 50 48 48 46 46 45
RH..............10 12 16 20 22 23 24 25 26 28 29 31
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 8 8 8 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 17 17 17 8 8 8 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2
EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...10 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 13 10 9 9 8 6 6 6 5 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/1000138 65 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NW 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN NW 8-12 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14500 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 3 7 11 14 16 18 20 23 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45 47 54 61 67 71 73 74 74 75 75 75
RH..............30 30 26 21 15 13 11 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 10 10 10 17 17 17 20 20 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 6 6 6 10 10 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.5 6.0 9.0 12 13 14 15 15 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 10 10 10 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 4 14 26 53 77 113 125 126 135 131 140
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW CELOMMI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618605.8/PUB
.DELDT 08/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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