744
FXUS65 KPUB 031833
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1233 PM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARM THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH SOME AFTERNOON SHOWERS
POSSIBLE OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE SUNDAY AND TUESDAY.
- COOLER AND POSSIBLY MORE ACTIVE AFTER NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1232 PM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. AS A RESULT, DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT
ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE TODAY, WITH 70S
FOR MOST AREAS WHILE PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS (MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY
50) REACH INTO THE LOW-80S. A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL PUSH ONTO THE
PLAINS LATER THIS EVENING FROM THE NORTH, BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO
IMPACT OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER. OVERNIGHT, LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 50S OUT EAST, AND IN THE HIGH-30S TO LOW-40S OVER THE VALLEYS.
FOR SUNDAY, TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER BEHIND THE DRY FRONT,
WITH HIGHS STAYING IN THE 60S-70S ACROSS THE REGION. MEANWHILE, OUR
ONLY CHANCE FOR ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS
OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE, WHICH WOULD COME DURING THE AFTERNOON
IF THEY MANAGE TO FORM AT ALL.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1232 PM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE FORECAST FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVERHEAD, ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RELATIVELY
DRY AIR. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE ROLLS
THROUGH, BUT OTHERWISE THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO STAY MOSTLY DRY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM, WITH HIGHS CONSISTENTLY IN THE 70S-
80S OVER MOST OF OUR CWA.
MODEL CONSISTENCY STARTS TO BREAK DOWN AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
GENERAL CONSENSUS IS FOR A BRIEF COOLING TREND TO SET IN, WITH HINTS
AT ACTIVE WEATHER AFTER THAT, THOUGH THE DETAILS ARE STILL FAR FROM
CERTAIN.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1115 AM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KALS, KCOS, AND KPUB THROUGH 24
HOURS. WINDS WILL GUST OUT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT KALS THIS
AFTERNOON, AROUND 20 KNOTS, WHILE WINDS AT KCOS AND KPUB WILL BE
LESS GUSTY AND MORE NORTHEASTERLY.
THERE IS A LOW-END CHANCE FOR SOME MVFR CLOUDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT,
BUT LATEST DATA SHOWS LESS CONFIDENCE IN THAT SOLUTION. OTHERWISE,
LIGHT WINDS AND FEWER CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
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