535  
FNUS72 KRAH 071138  
FWSRAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCKINNON SITE PREP ACTUAL...NC FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC  
738 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THIS NWS OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MILD HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC WILL EXTEND  
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THIS EVENING. A COLD  
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT, THEN PUSH SOUTHEAST  
THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MUCH COOLER HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................7 TO 47.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 44 35 45 60 53 49 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............71 75 78 81 82 83 83 82  
RH..............81 74 69 58 56 55 55 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 8 9 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.5 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10  
LVORI...........6 3 3 3 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............7 33 33 33 47 47 47 24  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................4 TO 24.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 52 57 54 57 55 42 54 66 74 82 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............81 78 73 71 70 70 69 69 68 67 67 67  
RH..............60 69 84 90 90 90 93 93 97 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 10 9 9 9 8 8 9 8  
LVORI...........2 2 6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9 9  
ADI.............24 24 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................4 TO 19.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10 DECREASING TO 7 IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 10 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 8 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 10  
DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 78 77 79 79 79 82 85 88 84 80 76  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 70 70 70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............66 65 67 68 71 74 75 77 78 78 77 77  
RH..............100 100 100 100 93 84 82 74 71 71 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW W W NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 8 8 9 8 7 7 7 6 6  
LVORI...........9 9 8 8 8 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............4 4 8 8 8 19 19 19 18 18 18 11  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 8 7 7 7 10 8 8 10 6 6 6  
 
 
FORECASTER...HARTFIELD  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL FRYE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523076.0/RAH  
.DELDT 10/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.FRYE@NCAGR.GOV  
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