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FXUS62 KRAH 121745
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1245 PM EST WED NOV 12 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE MID SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 1245 PM WEDNESDAY...
MILDER WITH DIMINISHING SW BREEZE THIS EVENING, MAINLY CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK APPALACHIAN SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL EXIST IN THE OVERALL WSW
FLOW. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A DRY FLOW; HOWEVER, DEW POINTS ARE
FORECAST TO SLOWLY RISE INTO THE 30S TO NEAR 40 LATE TONIGHT. A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY CREATE A FEW HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE, IT WILL BE MILDER AND DRY TONIGHT. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 35-40 RANGE FOR THE MOST PART.
SW WINDS WILL GUST TO 20-25 MPH THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASE TO 10 MPH OR LESS TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 210 AM WEDNESDAY...
BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING
ACROSS N AND W SECTIONS, WHERE THE PASSING JET STREAK ALOFT WILL
INDUCE LOCALIZED STRONG DIVERGENCE. ONCE THIS EXITS, SUNSHINE SHOULD
INCREASE BY MIDDAY, WITH FAIR SKIES THROUGH EARLY-MID AFTERNOON AS
PWS REMAIN LOW WITHIN THE FLAT NW FLOW. EXPECT HIGHS TO REMAIN
GENERALLY A CATEGORY BELOW NORMAL, FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE N TO
MID 60S S. CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE ANEW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE NIGHT AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE NOW NOTED OVER N ID/W MT
SPREADS SE INTO THE AREA. THE LOW LEVELS WILL STAY DRY, HOWEVER, SO
NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S. -GIH
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
AS OF 215 AM WEDNESDAY...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S., ALLOWING FOR A
CONTINUED WARMING TREND, WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE EVEN WARMER FOR THE WEEKEND AS
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT DRY COLD
FRONT, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH TEMPS THIS WEEKEND ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
70S, WITH SUNDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY (LOWER TO MID 70S).
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL REMAIN MILD, IN
THE 60S. LOW TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S AND 50S DURING THE LONG
TERM PERIOD, WITH THE WARMEST MORNING BEING SUNDAY MORNING AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT. LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S THEN.
DRY WEATHER IS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST TUESDAY,
ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE BEGINS TO DIVERGE LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH
HOW THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL EVOLVE. THUS FOR NOW, WILL KEEP POPS LOW,
AND WITH NO MENTION THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
AS OF 1230 PM WEDNESDAY...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS, WITH NO VSBY RESTRICTIONS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY AND
GUSTY AT 12 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON, THEN DIMINISH TO
AROUND 10 KNOTS TONIGHT.
LOOKING BEYOND 12Z THU, VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT ALL
SITES THROUGH SUN.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SYNOPSIS...RAH
NEAR TERM...RAH
SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...RAH
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