295
FXUS62 KRAH 210619
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
115 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AND DRIER
AIR WILL ARRIVE WITH RENEWED HIGH PRESSURE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 100 PM SATURDAY...
*QUIET BUT MILDER TONIGHT
BENEATH QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT, AHEAD OF A MOISTURE
STARVED COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN PIEDMONT
TOWARDS DAYBREAK SUNDAY. LIGHT SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL KEEP LOWS
MILDER THAN LAST NIGHT, MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 100 PM SATURDAY...
* A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING, BRINGING COOL, DRY AIR TO THE REGION.
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AHEAD OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW THE HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO THE MID 50S TO LOW
60S BEFORE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. NO
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT AS THERE WILL BE A LACK OF
MOISTURE. THUS, ONLY EXPECT A PERIOD OF INCREASED HIGH CLOUDS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ALONG WITH A BRIEF
PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS UP TO AROUND 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE, THE FRONT WILL BRING IN COOLER AND DRIER AIR, DROPPING
THE LOWS BACK BELOW NORMAL. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT LOOK TO BE BELOW
FREEZING EVERYWHERE, WITH MID/UPPER 20S NORTH TO LOW 30S SOUTH.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
AS OF 115 AM SUNDAY...
WITH THE SURFACE HIGH OFF THE COAST TUESDAY, A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT WITH HIGHEST
CHANCES NEAR THE VA BORDER. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT EAST,
MOVING THE RAIN CHANCES EASTWARD BY THE AFTERNOON. AS THE WAA
CONTINUES TO LIFT ACROSS THE REGION TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE ESPECIALLY ON CHRISTMAS DAY AND FRIDAY. THURSDAY
WILL BE DRY WITH WELL-ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AS HIGHS CLIMB INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S, ROUGHLY 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. LOWS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY UNDER PERSISTENT SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW, WITH HIGHS
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT, BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, THE
NORTHERN PIEDMONT HAS A SLIGHT, LOW END CHANCE OF RAIN DURING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING,
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S FOLLOWED BY
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 1232 AM SUNDAY...
A DRY COLD COLD WILL CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 15Z-19Z TODAY, WITH POST-
FRONTAL WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NW AND N AT 8 TO 12 KTS, WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 15 TO 22 KTS.
OUTLOOK: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THROUGH MID TO LATE
WEEK. A WEAK BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
CLIMATE
RECORD HIGHS 12/25 12/26 12/27
RDU 75 (1955) 75 (1889) 76 (2015)
GSO 74 (2015) 75 (2015) 74 (2015)
FAY 81 (2015) 79 (1955) 78 (2015)
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...HELOCK
LONG TERM...CA
AVIATION...BADGETT
CLIMATE...RAH
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