621
FXUS62 KRAH 210648
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
148 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE AS A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR
WILL ARRIVE WITH RENEWED HIGH PRESSURE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. A WARM
UP WITH DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED MID TO LATE WEEK.
NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 148 AM SUNDAY...
KEY MESSAGES
- TODAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY IN SEVERAL WEEKS AS HIGHS WARM INTO
THE 60S.
- A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
WITH NO SENSIBLE WEATHER.
- TURNING BRIEFLY COLDER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS ANOTHER CHILLY
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE MIDWEST.
EXPECT PLENTY OF HIGH CLOUDINESS TODAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT SW WINDS WILL BECOME
NW THEN N AT 10-15 MPH AFTER THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HIGHS TODAY SHOULD REACH WELL INTO THE 60S, WITH LOWS TONIGHT
CHILLING DOWN INTO THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S WITH CLEARING SKIES.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 148 AM SUNDAY...
THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION DURING
MONDAY, BUT STILL RIDGE BACK WEST ACROSS THE STATE INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. GOOD WAA WILL BEGIN TO OUR WEST AND NORTH (MAINLY WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS) INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE SUNNY AND
SEASONABLE CONDITIONS MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
THEN, INCREASING CLOUDINESS MONDAY NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
30S.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
AS OF 115 AM SUNDAY...
WITH THE SURFACE HIGH OFF THE COAST TUESDAY, A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT WITH HIGHEST
CHANCES NEAR THE VA BORDER. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT EAST,
MOVING THE RAIN CHANCES EASTWARD BY THE AFTERNOON. AS THE WAA
CONTINUES TO LIFT ACROSS THE REGION TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE ESPECIALLY ON CHRISTMAS DAY AND FRIDAY. THURSDAY
WILL BE DRY WITH WELL-ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AS HIGHS CLIMB INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S, ROUGHLY 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. LOWS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY UNDER PERSISTENT SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW, WITH HIGHS
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT, BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, THE
NORTHERN PIEDMONT HAS A SLIGHT, LOW END CHANCE OF RAIN DURING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING,
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S FOLLOWED BY
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 1232 AM SUNDAY...
A DRY COLD COLD WILL CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 15Z-19Z TODAY, WITH POST-
FRONTAL WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NW AND N AT 8 TO 12 KTS, WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 15 TO 22 KTS.
OUTLOOK: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THROUGH MID TO LATE
WEEK. A WEAK BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
CLIMATE
RECORD HIGHS 12/25 12/26 12/27
RDU 75 (1955) 75 (1889) 76 (2015)
GSO 74 (2015) 75 (2015) 74 (2015)
FAY 81 (2015) 79 (1955) 78 (2015)
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...BADGETT
SHORT TERM...BADGETT
LONG TERM...CA
AVIATION...BADGETT
CLIMATE...RAH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page