925
FXUS62 KRAH 231752
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
152 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION BELOW.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 230 AM WEDNESDAY...
1) COLD AIR DAMMING REGIME WILL STAY IN PLACE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, WITH COOL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT RAIN.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 230 AM WEDNESDAY...
1) COLD AIR DAMMING REGIME WILL STAY IN PLACE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, WITH COOL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT RAIN.
THE COLD FRONT HAS SUCCESSFULLY MADE ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION, AND
NOW LOOKS TO BE LOCATED ALONG THE NC COAST INTO SOUTH CAROLINA. THIS
FRONT SHOULD STALL TO OUR SOUTH AND AT THE SAME TIME A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OFF THE NC COAST. THIS HAS ALLOWED
FOR A COLD AIR DAMMING REGIME TO SET UP OVER THE AREA. THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY, EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS LOOKING TO REMAIN
IN THE LOW 60S IN THE NORTHWEST TO THE LOW (PERHAPS MID) 70S IN THE
SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY OVERCAST SKIES AND PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH AND MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT, WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR INCREASED RAINFALL
IN THE EVENING TO OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OFF THE COAST
AND MOVE TO THE NORTH, WHICH SHOULD HELP THE CAD ERODE THURSDAY
EVENING INTO FRIDAY. THE EROSION SHOULD BE AIDED BY DRIER AND
SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING. SINCE
THE CAD LOOKS TO REMAIN THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON, ADDITIONAL LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS WELL.
ADDITIONALLY, GUSTY WINDS LOOK LIKELY AS THE LOW STRENGTHENS OFF THE
COAST ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AFTER THE CAD ERODES, TEMPERATURES LOOK
TO SLOWLY MODERATE EACH DAY THROUGH MID-WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AS OF 130 PM WEDNESDAY...
OVERRUNNING MOISTURE WITH A COLD AIR DAMMING WEDGE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAIN/REDUCED VSBYS AND MAINLY IFR CIGS ACROSS MOST OF THE
SITES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN LOOKS CONTINUE AND BE
POSSIBLY MORE CONFINED TO KINT AND KGSO FOR THE EVENING INTO
TOMORROW. THESE SITES MAY ALSO GET NEAR LIFR CIGS BY THIS
EVENING AS WELL. CIGS SHOULD SEE SLOW IMPROVEMENT FOR THE REST
OF THE SITES BY THE EARLY MORNING INTO THURSDAY DAY - MAKING IT
IN THE MVFR CATEGORY. WINDS STAY ENHANCED OUT OF THE NORTH TO NE
GENERALLY 10-12 KTS GUSTING 18-22 KTS, THEN POSSIBLY A BIT
GREATER BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK: WIDESPREAD STRATUS WITH AT LEAST SUB-VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS VFR CONDITIONS ARRIVE.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...LH
AVIATION...AB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page