066
FXUS62 KRAH 250455
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1255 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* LOWERED MINT FOR TONIGHT (FRIDAY NIGHT) AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
AS OF 1255 AM FRIDAY...
1) DRY AIR, CLEAR SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT OVER THE PIEDMONT
WILL LEAD TO LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. IT WILL BE A BIT WARMER
IN THE COASTAL PLAIN WHERE THE NORTHERLY WIND WILL REMAIN UP AROUND
5-12 MPH OVERNIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS WELL OFF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST.
KEY MESSAGE 2... EXCELLENT WEATHER FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND ACROSS
OUR REGION WITH TEMPERATURES VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL BY DAY - AND A BIT
ON THE COOL SIDE BY NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGE 3... DRY AND BECOMING SEASONABLY WARM MOST OF THE WEEK.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS HOLDS OFF UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 1255 AM FRIDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1... DRY AIR, CLEAR SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT OVER
THE PIEDMONT WILL LEAD TO LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. IT WILL BE A
BIT WARMER IN THE COASTAL PLAIN WHERE THE NORTHERLY WIND WILL REMAIN
UP AROUND 5-12 MPH OVERNIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS WELL OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.
AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND MOVES SLOWLY NORTH, STRONG DRY AND COOL ADVECTION WILL
ALLOW THE DEW POINTS TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S OVER THE
W-NW PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
TODAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY 70-73 WITH A GUSTY N WIND AT 15-20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH. THE STRONGER WINDS (UP TO 35 MPH) ARE
EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. THESE HIGHS WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.
THE LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE THE COOLEST SINCE MAY WITH READINGS IN THE
40-45 RANGE IN THE PIEDMONT, AND GENERALLY 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. THIS WILL BE DUE TO THE VERY DRY AIR, DIMINISHING WIND TO
LIGHT, AND CLEAR SKIES. THE LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD BE 5-10 DEGREES
WARMER IN THE COASTAL PLAIN WHERE THE SURFACE AND BOUNDARY LAYER
WILL REMAIN MIXED KEEPING THE NORTH WIND STIRRING.
KEY MESSAGE 2... EXCELLENT WEATHER FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND ACROSS
OUR REGION WITH TEMPERATURES VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL BY DAY - AND A BIT
ON THE COOL SIDE BY NIGHT.
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND; HOWEVER, THE SKIES MAY
BECOME PARTLY SUNNY AT TIMES IN THE NE SATURDAY DUE TO SOME
CLOUDINESS FROM THE LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW
ENGLAND COAST THAT WILL BE MOVING VERY SLOWLY. HIGHS WILL RECOVER
INTO THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S SATURDAY AND MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 80S
SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S WEST AND LOWER 50S EAST
WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. THESE LOWS WILL AGAIN BE WELL BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND (BY 10-15 DEGREES).
THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL THE END OF THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE SE STATES THROUGH
AT LEAST THURSDAY. LOWS WILL MODERATE INTO THE 50S MID-WEEK THEN 60S
LATE WEEK. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S.
KEY MESSAGE 3... DRY AND BECOMING SEASONABLY WARM MOST OF THE WEEK.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS HOLDS OFF UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE WEEK.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL FRIDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE SE STATES WELL
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK (AND POSSIBLY INTO NEXT WEEKEND).
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
AND BEYOND.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
AS OF 800 PM THURSDAY...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL LINGER AT RWI AND FAY THIS EVENING AND MAY EVEN
REDEVELOP ON A TEMPORARY BASIS AT GSO/INT. GRADUAL DRYING AND
CLEARING OF THE MVFR RANGE CLOUD LAYER WILL OTHERWISE RESULT OVER
CNTL NC OVERNIGHT, ACCOMPANIED BY A STEADY AND PERHAPS OCCASIONALLY
GUSTY NLY TO NELY SURFACE BREEZE. PREVAILING GUSTINESS WILL THEN
PROBABLY DEVELOP WITH DAYTIME HEATING BY MID-LATE MORNING FRI.
ADDITIONALLY, A RENEWED SURGE OF MOISTURE IN NELY FLOW DOWN THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST MAY SUPPORT A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF CEILINGS
RIGHT AROUND 3000 FT AGL AT RWI FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK: A DRY/CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER CNTL NC AND
FAVOR VFR CONDITIONS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BADGETT
AVIATION...MWS
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