737  
FNUS75 KREV 201402  
FWSREV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH LANDING PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
602 AM PST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.  
 
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY  
ABOVE 5000 FEET...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
* STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
* SNOW EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN AS SNOW LEVELS  
RISE OVER 7000 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
* A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK  
WITH MULTIPLE WAVES OF GUSTY WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY  
RAIN/SNOW.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN .  
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.  
RH..................82% AT IGNITION...MIN 82%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....5% INCREASING TO 40% IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30-35 MPH.  
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (PST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM  
SKY (%).........90 87 87 91  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 40 40 40  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............35 39 44 46  
RH..............82 84 82 82  
20 FT WIND......S 18 S 24 S 24 S 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 45 45 35  
MX HT MSL (KFT).2.8 3.2 3.2 3.1  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 35 S 35 S 30  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..76 97 97 84  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.  
RH..................MAX 100%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH DECREASING TO 7-10 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND GUSTS AS  
HIGH AS 20 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....80% DECREASING TO 70% OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15-20 MPH.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR TO MARGINAL.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (PST) 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM  
SKY (%).........98 98 96 98 98 98  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............80 80 80 70 70 70  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............44 42 42 41 41 40  
RH..............86 93 95 95 93 91  
20 FT WIND......S 15 S 15 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 15  
MX HT MSL (KFT).2.2 2.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 20 S 20 S 15 S 15 S 20  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..40 40 21 18 18 25  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.  
RH..................MIN 82%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....85%.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25-30 MPH.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR TO GOOD.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (PST) 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM  
SKY (%).........98 98 98 98 98 98  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............39 39 40 43 45 45  
RH..............91 96 99 97 92 88  
20 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 12 S 16 S 17 S 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 30 30 30  
MX HT MSL (KFT).2.0 2.0 1.8 2.6 2.6 2.6  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 25 S 25 S 30 S 30 S 25  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..40 40 38 62 62 59  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD FAIR  
 
 
FORECASTER...JOHNSTON  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CROWL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2426773.1/REV  
.DELDT 11/20/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.CROWL@USDA.GOV  
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