195  
FNUS75 KREV 210352  
FWSREV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SATTLEY-CALPINE...USFS TAHOE NF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
752 PM PST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
* RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH STRONG AND GUSTY  
SOUTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
* AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS AND PERIODS  
OF HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
* MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED WITH THE FRI-SAT STORM WITH A COLDER SYSTEM  
PROVIDING BETTER CHANCES FOR SNOWFALL SUN-MON.  
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. 80% CHANCE OF RAIN.  
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.  
RH..................94% AT IGNITION...MIN 74%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....85% DECREASING TO 70% IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30-35 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION.........GOOD.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (PST) 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........92 84 82  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............90 70 70  
LAL.............1 1 1  
TEMP............38 45 46  
RH..............94 83 74  
20 FT WIND......SW 14G30 SW 18G35 SW 17G35  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.0 1.3 1.5  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25 SW 35 SW 30  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 68 62  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR GOOD GOOD  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.  
RH..................MAX 78%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-12 MPH INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....60% DECREASING TO 45% OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 45 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (PST) 4 PM 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM  
SKY (%).........81 82 73 73  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............60 60 50 50  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............44 41 41 41  
RH..............78 78 74 70  
20 FT WIND......SW 12G20 S 10G15 S 10G15 S 16G35  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.9 1.6 1.6 1.4  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20 S 15 SW 20 SW 35  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 23 29 30  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.  
RH..................MIN 78%.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30  
MPH.  
LAL.................1.  
CHC WETTING RAIN....70% INCREASING TO 85% IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH INCREASING TO 30-35 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR TO GOOD.  
HAINES INDEX........2.  
 
TIME (PST) 4 AM 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM  
SKY (%).........82 82 91 91  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............70 70 90 90  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............40 39 43 45  
RH..............78 78 83 83  
20 FT WIND......S 17G30 S 15G25 S 16G25 S 15G25  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.3 1.4 2.4 2.0  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25 SW 20 S 35 SW 30  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 24 69 51  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD FAIR  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...FUENTES  
REQUESTED BY...FRANK BOJORQUEZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2427128.0/REV  
.DELDT 11/21/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL FRANK.BOJORQUEZ@USDA.GOV  
 
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