180
FXUS65 KREV 212144
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
144 PM PST FRI FEB 21 2025
SYNOPSIS
* A WARMING TREND WILL RESULT IN SPRING-LIKE TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* A PAIR OF WEAK STORMS WILL BEING INCREASED WINDS AND LIGHT SHOWERS
TO NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWEST NEVADA SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
* NO SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORMS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF
FEBRUARY WITH A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN POSSIBLE IN EARLY
MARCH.
DISCUSSION
TODAY'S ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S HAS
BEEN BROUGHT TO YOU BY HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT, WHICH IS KEEPING THE
STORM TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH. WE'LL GET OUR FIRST TASTE OF SPRING
THIS WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL,
MAKING IT FEEL MORE LIKE APRIL THAN LATE FEBRUARY. SPRING-LIKE
WEATHER CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MONDAY SERVING AS OUR
WARMEST DAY WHEN SOME BASIN AND RANGE COMMUNITIES (E.G., FALLON,
HAWTHORNE, YERINGTON) SEE THEIR FIRST 70F READING OF THE YEAR. THERE
IS EVEN 10% CHANCE THAT RENO ALSO BREAKS THE 70F MARK ON MONDAY.
THE REMAINDER OF FEBRUARY WILL BE PREDOMINATELY DRY AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE AREA PREVENTS WINTER STORMS FROM
IMPACTING THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA. HOWEVER, A COUPLE WEAK
STORMS WILL TRANSIT CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE REGION TO SUPPORT PERIODS OF
LIGHT SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE
FIRST STORM BRUSHES BY LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY, BRINGING
LIGHT SHOWERS FROM LASSEN AND E PLUMAS COUNTIES TO FAR NW NEVADA. A
FEW SHOWERS MAY BE ABLE TO SNEAK INTO THE TAHOE BASIN BUT ODDS ARE
LOW (10-20%). THE SECOND STORM PASSES BY LATE MONDAY, INCREASING
SHOWER CHANCES FOR A SIMILAR AREA. LITTLE TO NO RAIN AND SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BETWEEN BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS.
WINDS BECOME BREEZY ON SUNDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE SIERRA
CREST, THEN WILL PEAK ON MONDAY AS GUSTY WINDS BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD. BLENDED GUIDANCE GIVES MOST WESTERN NEVADA LOCALES A 30-
50% CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS REACHING 40 MPH OR GREATER MONDAY
AFTERNOON. BE PREPARED FOR BUMPY FLIGHTS INTO AND OUT OF REGIONAL
AIRPORTS, CHOPPY LAKE WATERS, AND DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR
HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. AFTER MONDAY, LIGHTER WINDS PREVAIL WITH DRY
WEATHER AND UNSEASONABLE WARMTH, ALTHOUGH A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN MAY DEVELOP DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF MARCH.
-SALAS
AVIATION
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT BREEZES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. PERIODS OF MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE AND LLWS WILL BE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR KTRK/KTVL AND SIERRA
FRONT TERMINALS AS FL100 WINDS STRENGTHEN TO 30-50 KTS. MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS SAME TIMEFRAME WITH
A 10-20% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AT KTRK/KTVL.
-SALAS
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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