273
FXUS65 KREV 140653
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1153 PM PDT FRI JUN 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK, WITH POTENTIAL FOR LONGER PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS MONDAY
AND AGAIN BY NEXT WEEKEND.
* TYPICAL JUNE TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY, WITH MODERATE HEATRISK RETURNING BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
* FOR THE WEEKEND WE'LL MAINTAIN THE DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH
WEAK SHORTWAVES TRANSITING THROUGH THE AREA. EXPECT BREEZY
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGHOUT
THE EASTERN SIERRA, NE CA, AND W NV. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 20-30
MPH WILL BE COMMON FOR MOST OF THE AREA, WITH RIDGES GUSTING
BETWEEN 30-40 MPH. IT WILL REMAIN VERY DRY THIS WEEKEND, WITH
SEASONAL TO JUST ABOVE SEASONAL HIGH TEMPERATURES AND COOL
NIGHTS.
* ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO MONDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A TROUGH THE
GREAT BASIN. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE
DAY, LEADING TO WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH FOR MUCH OF NE CA
AND W NV. STRONGER GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH ARE FOCUSED ALONG THE
RIDGES IN THE TAHOE BASIN SOUTHWARD INTO MONO, MINERAL, AND LYON
COUNTIES. BE PREPARED FOR BUMPY FLIGHTS, BLOWING DUST IN THE
BASIN AND RANGE, AND CHOPPY WATERS ON AREA LAKES. BREEZY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO OVERLAP VERY LOW RH, WHICH WILL MAINTAIN
ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WHILE IT'S EXPECTED TO BE DRY, BLENDED
GUIDANCE OFFERS A 5% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE OREGON
BORDER.
* RIDGING PATTERN RETURNS TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND BACK ABOVE AVERAGE, WITH DAYTIME HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S FOR SIERRA COMMUNITIES AND UPPER 80S
TO MID 90S FOR WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS. IT WILL REMAIN DRY, BUT
WITH LIGHTER WINDS.
* HEADING TO THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, MODEL
ENSEMBLES ARE STILL DEPICTING AN UPPER LOW IMPACTING THE WESTERN
US. THERE IS STILL DISCREPANCIES INTO THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF
THIS FEATURE, WITH A FEW SOLUTIONS SHOWING A DEEP LOW OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WHILE OTHER ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS SHOWING A FASTER
TROUGH THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. EITHER WAY, THIS WILL NEED
TO BE WATCHED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG WINDS WITH FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS. -MCKELLAR
AVIATION
* WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. MORE TYPICAL PM GUSTS OF 20-25 KT ARE LIKELY THIS
WEEKEND AT ALL EASTERN SIERRA AND WESTERN NV TERMINALS. WINDS
COULD RAMP UP AGAIN FOR MONDAY WITH INCREASED AVIATION IMPACTS.
-MCKELLAR
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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